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Boavista da Praia vs FC Derby

Cape Verde Cape Verde

Campeonato Nacional 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Da Cruz N.
Own Goal
32' Event
Tavares W.

AI Match Summary

Boavista da Praia in this Campeonato Nacional 2024 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Boavista da Praia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Boavista da Praia
28%
Draws
22%
FC Derby
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Boavista da Praia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • FC Derby average 1.67 goals a game right now, well clear of Boavista da Praia's 1.63.
  • Model gives Boavista da Praia a 50% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Campeonato Nacional 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Boavista da Praia have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 16.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Boavista da Praia Clean Sheet 20%
FC Derby Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Boavista da Praia FC Derby
Matches Played 24 30
Wins 15 15
Draws 5 7
Losses 4 8
Goals Scored 1.63 1.67
Goals Conceded 0.38 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.67
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.38 1.33

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 13, 2024 Campeonato Nacional
Boavista da Praia vs FC Derby
2:1
Jun 15, 2024 Campeonato Nacional
FC Derby vs Boavista da Praia
0:0
May 4, 2024 Campeonato Nacional
Boavista da Praia vs FC Derby
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Boavista da Praia Compare

Top Goalscorer Tavares W.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

FC Derby Compare

Avg xG / game 1.52
Avg xA / game 0.93

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Boavista da Praia 49 / 100
FC Derby 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Boavista da Praia FC Derby

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BOA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Boavista da Praia's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 24 recent games.

FC Derby let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 1.67 goals as a typical output.

Boavista da Praia went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Boavista da Praia VS FC Derby
1.63 Goals Scored 1.67
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.33
75% Over 1.5 67%
38% Over 2.5 67%
0% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Boavista da Praia

(Home)
14 Jun
Palmeira
2 : 1
Boavista da Praia
06 Jun
Boavista da Praia
2 : 0
SC Atletico
30 May
Cutelinho
1 : 0
Boavista da Praia
23 May
Boavista da Praia
2 : 0
Mindelense
09 May
Boavista da Praia
1 : 0
Academico do Sal
Page 1 of 5

FC Derby

(Away)
13 Jul
Boavista da Praia
2 : 1
FC Derby
29 Jun
FC Derby
4 : 1
Academico do Sal
22 Jun
Academico do Sal
1 : 0
FC Derby
15 Jun
FC Derby
0 : 0
Boavista da Praia
09 Jun
Ultramarina
1 : 2
FC Derby
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Academico do Sal63129:810
2Academica do Fogo622211:68
3Rosariense62225:78
4Juventude61328:126
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Palmeira633013:512
2Morabeza62317:79
3Barreirense62228:88
4GD Varandinha60247:152
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Boavista da Praia651012:216
2FC Derby63217:411
3Ultramarina61145:134
4Sanjoanenses60243:82
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams