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Boavista U23 vs Cova De Piedade U23

Portugal Portugal

Liga Revelacao U23 2020/2021 Estádio do Bessa Século XXI
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Boavista U23 play Cova De Piedade U23 in the Liga Revelacao U23 2020/2021. It looks like a close match. Recently, Boavista U23 averaged 1.31 goals scored and 1.65 conceded. Cova De Piedade U23 averaged 1.08 goals scored and 2.65 conceded. In past meetings, Boavista U23 won 0, Cova De Piedade U23 won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Mar 7, 2021 ended 3:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.94 for Boavista U23 and 1.63 for Cova De Piedade U23. This points to a Boavista U23 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Boavista U23
25%
Draws
33%
Cova De Piedade U23
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Boavista U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence
  • Boavista U23 picked up more points recently compared to Cova De Piedade U23.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.94 vs 1.63 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 69%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 87%
Over 2.5 Goals 69%
Over 3.5 Goals 41%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Boavista U23 Clean Sheet 14%
Cova De Piedade U23 Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 78%
Second Half Goal 83%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Boavista U23 Cova De Piedade U23
Matches Played 26 26
Wins 5 3
Draws 7 6
Losses 14 17
Goals Scored 1.31 1.08
Goals Conceded 1.65 2.65
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 2.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2021 Liga Revelacao U23
Cova De Piedade U23 vs Boavista U23
3:2
Jan 27, 2021 Liga Revelacao U23
Boavista U23 vs Cova De Piedade U23
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Boavista U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer De Santis J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Cova De Piedade U23 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Boavista U23 41 / 100
Cova De Piedade U23 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Boavista U23 Cova De Piedade U23

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Boavista U23 or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +23.5%
2.94
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.7%
1.59
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Boavista U23 attacking → ← attacking Cova De Piedade U23

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Boavista U23 scored in 81% of their last 26 games.

Cova De Piedade U23 let in goals in 100% of their last 26 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Boavista U23 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Cova De Piedade U23 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

22 Points in last 5 15
1.13 Goals expected (xG) 1.63
1.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.75

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Benfica U231484227:1439
2Portimonense U2314102223:1335
3Academica U231465333:1930
4Sporting CP U231465325:2030
5Vitoria Guimaraes U231427521:2421
6Boavista U231435620:2118
7Rio Ave U2314131013:3215
8Cova De Piedade U231425717:3613