Sport Picks

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Boavista vs FC Porto

Portugal Portugal

Liga Portugal 2024/2025 Estádio do Bessa Século XXI, Porto
Our Tip

Match Events

5'
Kakay O.
10'
Perez N.
20' Event
Mora R.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Portugal 2024/2025 game between Boavista and FC Porto finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FC Porto.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Boavista
11%
Draws
80%
FC Porto
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: FC Porto

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and FC Porto come out ahead of Boavista on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans FC Porto's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors FC Porto here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Boavista Clean Sheet 17%
FC Porto Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Boavista FC Porto
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 5 21
Draws 4 6
Losses 21 4
Goals Scored 0 1.75
Goals Conceded 0 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 11, 2025 Liga Portugal
Boavista vs FC Porto
1:2
Dec 28, 2024 Liga Portugal
FC Porto vs Boavista
4:0
May 12, 2024 Liga Portugal
FC Porto vs Boavista
2:1
Jan 5, 2024 Liga Portugal
Boavista vs FC Porto
1:1
Apr 30, 2023 Liga Portugal
FC Porto vs Boavista
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Boavista Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

FC Porto Compare

Top Goalscorer Mora R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Marcano I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Boavista 12 / 100
FC Porto 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Boavista FC Porto

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FCP Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Boavista scored in 50% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: FC Porto conceded in 52% of 31 recent games.

Solid form: Boavista remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS FC Porto
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 0.63
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Boavista

(Home)
17 May
Arouca
4 : 1
Boavista
11 May
Boavista
1 : 2
FC Porto
05 May
AFS
1 : 2
Boavista
27 Apr
Boavista
0 : 5
Sporting CP
18 Apr
SC Farense
0 : 1
Boavista
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FC Porto

(Away)
16 May
FC Porto
1 : 0
Santa Clara
10 May
AFS
3 : 1
FC Porto
02 May
FC Porto
1 : 0
Alverca
26 Apr
Estrela da Amadora
1 : 2
FC Porto
22 Apr
FC Porto
0 : 0
Sporting CP
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sporting CP34257288:2782
2Benfica34255484:2880
3FC Porto34225765:3071
4Braga34199655:3066
5Santa Clara341761136:3257
6Vitoria Guimaraes341412847:3754
7Famalicao3412111144:3947
8Estoril3412101248:5346
9Casa Pia341291339:4445
10Moreirense3410101442:5040
11Rio Ave349111439:5538
12Arouca349111435:4938
13Gil Vicente348101634:4734
14Nacional34971832:5034
15Estrela da Amadora34781924:5029
16AFS345121725:6027
17SC Farense34691925:4627
18Boavista34662224:5924
Promotion - Champions League 2025/2026 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2025/2026 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2025/2026 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2025/2026 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2025/2026 (Qualification)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2 2025/2026 (Main)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2 2025/2026 (Main)