Sport Picks
Match Events
54'
54'
Junior Fialho
90'
90'
Felipinho
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 0-0. The second leg ended 2-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
35%
14%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Boavista
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Madureira come out ahead of Boavista on wins alone.
- 51% — that's where the model lands on Boavista taking it.
- Madureira arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Boavista, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Boavista Clean Sheet 68%
Madureira Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Boavista | Madureira |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 7 | 10 |
| Draws | 8 | 8 |
| Losses | 15 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 0.9 | 0.97 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.23 | 1.47 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 2, 2026 Copa Rio
Madureira vs Boavista
0:0
Aug 26, 2026 Copa Rio
Boavista vs Madureira
2:0
Feb 13, 2026 Carioca
Madureira vs Boavista
2:1
Jan 30, 2025 Carioca
Boavista vs Madureira
0:0
Feb 1, 2024 Carioca
Madureira vs Boavista
3:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Boavista Compare
Top Goalscorer Junior Fialho
1 Goals Assists Leader Felipinho
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
Madureira Compare
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Boavista 95 / 100
Madureira 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Boavista Madureira
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Boavista Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Recent resilience: Boavista stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.
Madureira's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.
These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.
Attacking prowess: Boavista scored in 53% of their last 30 outings.
Scoring Trends
Boavista VS Madureira
1.63 Goals Scored 1.25
0.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Boavista
(Home) 26 Sept
Boavista
2 : 0 Nova Iguacu
19 Sept
Nova Iguacu
1 : 1 Boavista
02 Sept
Madureira
0 : 0 Boavista
26 Aug
Boavista
2 : 0 Madureira
12 Aug
Boavista
3 : 0 Marica
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26 Sept
Boavista
2 : 0 Nova Iguacu
26 Aug
Boavista
2 : 0 Madureira
12 Aug
Boavista
3 : 0 Marica
22 Jul
Boavista
4 : 0 CEAC/Araruama
24 Feb
Boavista
2 : 3 Maringa FC
Page 1 of 3
Madureira
(Away) 23 Sept
Madureira
0 : 2 Sampaio Correa FE
16 Sept
Sampaio Correa FE
1 : 1 Madureira
02 Sept
Madureira
0 : 0 Boavista
26 Aug
Boavista
2 : 0 Madureira
12 Aug
Madureira
1 : 1 Portuguesa RJ
Page 1 of 6
16 Sept
Sampaio Correa FE
1 : 1 Madureira
26 Aug
Boavista
2 : 0 Madureira
05 Aug
Portuguesa RJ
0 : 1 Madureira
15 Jul
Bonsucesso
2 : 2 Madureira
30 May
Agua Santa
4 : 1 Madureira
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Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
Americano 2
Macae 1
TBD -
Portuguesa RJ -
Cabofriense 1
Bonsucesso 3
TBD -
Madureira -
Perolas Negras 10
Santa Cruz RJ 1
TBD -
Marica -
CEAC/Araruama 2
Sao Cristovao 1
TBD -
Boavista -
Olaria 6
Duque de Caxias 0
TBD -
Bangu -
America RJ -
Goytacaz -
TBD -
Nova Iguacu -
Sao Goncalo 3
Serrano FC 2
TBD -
Volta Redonda -
Resende 11
Belford Roxo 2
TBD -
Sampaio Correa FE -
1/8-finals
Americano 1
Portuguesa RJ 2
Bonsucesso 3
Madureira 4
Perolas Negras 0
Marica 3
CEAC/Araruama 0
Boavista 5
Olaria 3
Bangu 1
America RJ 1
Nova Iguacu 2
Sao Goncalo 2
Volta Redonda 1
Resende 0
Sampaio Correa FE 3
Quarter-finals
Portuguesa RJ 1
Madureira 2
Marica 1
Boavista 3
Olaria 0
Nova Iguacu 1
Sao Goncalo 0
Sampaio Correa FE 1
Semi-finals
Madureira 0
Boavista 2
Nova Iguacu 3
Sampaio Correa FE 2
Final
Boavista 3
Nova Iguacu 1
Madureira 1
Sampaio Correa FE 3
