Sport Picks
Boavista vs Nova Iguacu - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Brazil
Copa Rio 
Match Events
39'
39'
Fernando
87'
87'
Riquelme
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 2-0. The second leg ended 2-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
45%
35%
20%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Boavista
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
45%
/ Medium Confidence
- Nova Iguacu carry the better recent record into this one.
- Boavista are the model's pick here, at 80%.
- Nova Iguacu arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Boavista, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Boavista Clean Sheet 68%
Nova Iguacu Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Boavista | Nova Iguacu |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 32 |
| Wins | 7 | 10 |
| Draws | 8 | 11 |
| Losses | 15 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 0.9 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.23 | 1.09 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 0.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 26, 2026 Copa Rio
Boavista vs Nova Iguacu
2:0
Sep 19, 2026 Copa Rio
Nova Iguacu vs Boavista
1:1
Jun 28, 2025 Serie D
Boavista vs Nova Iguacu
1:1
May 17, 2025 Serie D
Nova Iguacu vs Boavista
2:1
Jan 27, 2025 Carioca
Nova Iguacu vs Boavista
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Boavista Compare
Top Goalscorer Fernando
1 Goals Assists Leader Riquelme
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
Nova Iguacu Compare
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Boavista 86 / 100
Nova Iguacu 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Boavista Nova Iguacu
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Boavista Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Solid form: Boavista remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.
Nova Iguacu let in goals in 72% of their last 32 matches.
Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.
Boavista scored in 53% of their last 30 games.
Scoring Trends
Boavista VS Nova Iguacu
1.63 Goals Scored 1
0.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Boavista
(Home) 26 Sept
Boavista
2 : 0 Nova Iguacu
19 Sept
Nova Iguacu
1 : 1 Boavista
02 Sept
Madureira
0 : 0 Boavista
26 Aug
Boavista
2 : 0 Madureira
12 Aug
Boavista
3 : 0 Marica
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Boavista
2 : 0 Nova Iguacu
26 Aug
Boavista
2 : 0 Madureira
12 Aug
Boavista
3 : 0 Marica
22 Jul
Boavista
4 : 0 CEAC/Araruama
24 Feb
Boavista
2 : 3 Maringa FC
Page 1 of 3
Nova Iguacu
(Away) 26 Sept
Boavista
2 : 0 Nova Iguacu
19 Sept
Nova Iguacu
1 : 1 Boavista
02 Sept
Sampaio Correa FE
2 : 1 Nova Iguacu
26 Aug
Nova Iguacu
2 : 0 Sampaio Correa FE
12 Aug
Nova Iguacu
0 : 0 Olaria
Page 1 of 7
26 Sept
Boavista
2 : 0 Nova Iguacu
02 Sept
Sampaio Correa FE
2 : 1 Nova Iguacu
05 Aug
Olaria
0 : 1 Nova Iguacu
15 Jul
America RJ
0 : 1 Nova Iguacu
08 Jul
Fluminense
6 : 1 Nova Iguacu
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
Americano 2
Macae 1
TBD -
Portuguesa RJ -
Cabofriense 1
Bonsucesso 3
TBD -
Madureira -
Perolas Negras 10
Santa Cruz RJ 1
TBD -
Marica -
CEAC/Araruama 2
Sao Cristovao 1
TBD -
Boavista -
Olaria 6
Duque de Caxias 0
TBD -
Bangu -
America RJ -
Goytacaz -
TBD -
Nova Iguacu -
Sao Goncalo 3
Serrano FC 2
TBD -
Volta Redonda -
Resende 11
Belford Roxo 2
TBD -
Sampaio Correa FE -
1/8-finals
Americano 1
Portuguesa RJ 2
Bonsucesso 3
Madureira 4
Perolas Negras 0
Marica 3
CEAC/Araruama 0
Boavista 5
Olaria 3
Bangu 1
America RJ 1
Nova Iguacu 2
Sao Goncalo 2
Volta Redonda 1
Resende 0
Sampaio Correa FE 3
Quarter-finals
Portuguesa RJ 1
Madureira 2
Marica 1
Boavista 3
Olaria 0
Nova Iguacu 1
Sao Goncalo 0
Sampaio Correa FE 1
Semi-finals
Madureira 0
Boavista 2
Nova Iguacu 3
Sampaio Correa FE 2
Final
Boavista 3
Nova Iguacu 1
Madureira 1
Sampaio Correa FE 3
