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Boavista vs Padroense

Portugal Portugal

Second Division - Zona Norte
Boavista Logo

Boavista

4 - 0
FT
Padroense Logo

Padroense

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Boavista in this Second Division - Zona Norte matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Boavista.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Boavista
15%
Draws
34%
Padroense
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Boavista

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Boavista have won more games recently than Padroense.
  • 34% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Boavista Clean Sheet 14%
Padroense Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Boavista Padroense
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 8 5
Draws 5 5
Losses 21 20
Goals Scored 0.88 0.77
Goals Conceded 1.65 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 3, 2013 Second Division - Zona Norte
Boavista vs Padroense
4:0
Sep 30, 2012 Second Division - Zona Norte
Padroense vs Boavista
0:0
Apr 1, 2012 Second Division - Zona Centro
Boavista vs Padroense
4:2
Dec 4, 2011 Second Division - Zona Centro
Padroense vs Boavista
1:2
Apr 9, 2011 Second Division - Zona Centro
Padroense vs Boavista
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Boavista 35 / 100
Padroense 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Boavista Padroense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Padroense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Padroense conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Difficult form: Padroense registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Boavista scored in 53% of their last 34 games.

Scoring Trends

Boavista VS -
0.5 Goals Scored 0
2.25 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Boavista

(Home)
17 May
Arouca
4 : 1
Boavista
11 May
Boavista
1 : 2
FC Porto
05 May
AFS
1 : 2
Boavista
27 Apr
Boavista
0 : 5
Sporting CP
18 Apr
SC Farense
0 : 1
Boavista
Page 1 of 7

Padroense

(Away)
28 Apr
Padroense
1 : 2
Tirsense
21 Apr
Infesta
2 : 1
Padroense
14 Apr
Padroense
2 : 2
AD Fafe
07 Apr
Ribeirao
3 : 0
Padroense
30 Mar
Padroense
4 : 0
AD Limianos
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chaves 30 16 10 4 43:21 58
2 Ribeirao 30 15 10 5 43:24 55
3 SC Mirandela 30 15 8 7 41:29 53
4 Vizela 30 14 9 7 41:29 51
5 AD Limianos 30 12 9 9 33:30 45
6 Tirsense 30 11 12 7 35:32 45
7 Famalicao 30 11 10 9 42:35 43
8 Varzim 30 8 16 6 31:26 40
9 AD Fafe 30 10 10 10 37:33 40
10 Boavista 30 9 11 10 44:40 38
11 Amarante FC 30 7 12 11 30:33 33
12 Gondomar 30 7 12 11 25:27 33
13 Vilaverdense FC 30 7 12 11 22:36 33
14 GD Joane 30 7 7 16 27:48 28
15 Infesta 30 7 4 19 30:51 25
16 Padroense 30 5 6 19 23:53 21
Promotion - Second Division - Zona Centro (Play Offs)