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Boavista vs Tomar

Portugal Portugal

Primeira Liga 1975/1976
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tomar in this Primeira Liga 1975/1976 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tomar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Boavista
15%
Draws
28%
Tomar
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Boavista

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Boavista lately — more wins on the board than Tomar.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Boavista taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Boavista have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Boavista Clean Sheet 14%
Tomar Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Boavista Tomar
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 6 5
Draws 4 2
Losses 21 23
Goals Scored 0.77 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.87 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 13, 1976 Liga Portugal
Boavista vs Tomar
0:1
Nov 1, 1975 Liga Portugal
Tomar vs Boavista
0:2
Jan 19, 1975 Liga Portugal
Boavista vs Tomar
6:1
Sep 22, 1974 Liga Portugal
Tomar vs Boavista
1:2
Jun 3, 1973 Liga Portugal
Boavista vs Tomar
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Boavista 39 / 100
Tomar 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Boavista Tomar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Boavista Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tomar's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Tomar lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Boavista scored in 52% of their last 31 outings.

Scoring Trends

Boavista VS -
0.5 Goals Scored 0
2.25 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Boavista

(Home)
17 May
Arouca
4 : 1
Boavista
11 May
Boavista
1 : 2
FC Porto
05 May
AFS
1 : 2
Boavista
27 Apr
Boavista
0 : 5
Sporting CP
18 Apr
SC Farense
0 : 1
Boavista
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Tomar

(Away)
07 Apr
Tomar
0 : 4
CD Rabo Peixe
24 Mar
GD Fontinhas
2 : 0
Tomar
17 Mar
Tomar
0 : 2
Sertanense
09 Mar
Tomar
1 : 0
Alverca B
03 Mar
Mortagua FC
1 : 0
Tomar
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