Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Boavista vs Vasco

Brazil Brazil

Carioca Estadio Elcyr Resende de Mendonca, Rio de Janeiro
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Rodriguez J.
46'
Sub
Lucas Piton In: Joao Vitor
Out: Lucas Piton
46'
Sub
Bere In: Sandrinho
Out: Bere

AI Match Summary

The Carioca game between Boavista and Vasco finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vasco.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Boavista
28%
Draws
22%
Vasco
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Boavista

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Vasco carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Boavista a 50% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Carioca form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Boavista Clean Sheet 68%
Vasco Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Boavista Vasco
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 6 11
Draws 7 9
Losses 15 8
Goals Scored 1.25 1.25
Goals Conceded 0 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 25, 2026 Carioca
Boavista vs Vasco
0:3
Jan 19, 2025 Carioca
Boavista vs Vasco
1:1
Jan 18, 2024 Carioca
Vasco vs Boavista
2:0
Feb 27, 2023 Carioca
Vasco vs Boavista
4:1
Jan 30, 2022 Carioca
Vasco vs Boavista
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Boavista Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Vasco Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodriguez J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Gomez A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Boavista 59 / 100
Vasco 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Boavista Vasco

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BOA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vasco has conceded goals in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Boavista went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Boavista scored in 54% of their last 28 outings.

Scoring Trends

Boavista VS Vasco
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.75
25% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Boavista

(Home)
22 Jul
Boavista
4 : 0
CEAC/Araruama
15 Jul
CEAC/Araruama
0 : 1
Boavista
28 Feb
Botafogo RJ
0 : 0
Boavista
24 Feb
Boavista
2 : 3
Maringa FC
22 Feb
Boavista
0 : 2
Botafogo RJ
Page 1 of 6

Vasco

(Away)
01 Aug
Vasco
0 : 0
Fluminense
29 Jul
Vasco
1 : 0
Ind. Medellin
25 Jul
Vasco
1 : 1
Mirassol
22 Jul
Ind. Medellin
2 : 2
Vasco
16 Jul
Vitoria
1 : 0
Vasco
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fluminense 6 5 0 1 9:5 15
2 Vasco 6 3 2 1 9:3 11
3 Volta Redonda 6 3 2 1 9:5 11
4 Bangu 6 3 1 2 7:7 10
5 Portuguesa RJ 6 2 1 3 6:7 7
6 Sampaio Correa FE 6 2 1 3 7:14 7
Promotion - Carioca (Taca Guanabara - Play Offs)
Relegation - Carioca (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Botafogo RJ 6 3 0 3 6:5 9
2 Madureira 6 2 2 2 5:6 8
3 Boavista 6 2 2 2 6:8 8
4 Flamengo RJ 6 2 1 3 11:9 7
5 Nova Iguacu 6 1 2 3 8:9 5
6 Marica 6 1 0 5 5:10 3
Promotion - Carioca (Taca Guanabara - Play Offs)
Relegation - Carioca (Relegation Group)