Sport Picks
Bobo-Dioulasso vs Sonabel Ouagadougou
Burkina Faso
Premier League 2025/2026 Stade Général Aboubacar Sangoulé Lamizana, Bobo Dioulasso 
Match Events
90'
90'
Bation M.
Assist: Tilourba A.
AI Match Summary
The Premier League 2025/2026 game between Bobo-Dioulasso and Sonabel Ouagadougou finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bobo-Dioulasso.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
43%
15%
42%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bobo-Dioulasso
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
42%
/ Low Confidence
- Sonabel Ouagadougou carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Sonabel Ouagadougou's way, sitting at 40%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 23.200000000000003%
Bobo-Dioulasso Clean Sheet 23%
Sonabel Ouagadougou Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Bobo-Dioulasso | Sonabel Ouagadougou |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 6 | 8 |
| Draws | 9 | 10 |
| Losses | 15 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 0.37 | 0.9 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.93 | 1.07 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 18, 2026 Premier League
Bobo-Dioulasso vs Sonabel Ouagadougou
1:0
Oct 11, 2025 Premier League
Sonabel Ouagadougou vs Bobo-Dioulasso
2:0
Feb 8, 2025 Premier League
Bobo-Dioulasso vs Sonabel Ouagadougou
0:0
Jan 19, 2025 Premier League
Sonabel Ouagadougou vs Bobo-Dioulasso
0:0
May 4, 2024 Premier League
Sonabel Ouagadougou vs Bobo-Dioulasso
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Bobo-Dioulasso Compare
Top Goalscorer Bation M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6
Sonabel Ouagadougou Compare
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Bobo-Dioulasso 29 / 100
Sonabel Ouagadougou 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Bobo-Dioulasso Sonabel Ouagadougou
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Sonabel Ouagadougou Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sonabel Ouagadougou's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.
Sonabel Ouagadougou lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Bobo-Dioulasso scored in 43% of their last 30 games.
Historical meetings average 0.60 goals per match.
Scoring Trends
Bobo-Dioulasso VS Sonabel Ouagadougou
0.75 Goals Scored 0.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Bobo-Dioulasso
(Home) 10 May
Bobo-Dioulasso
0 : 2 USFA
03 May
Rahimo
4 : 0 Bobo-Dioulasso
26 Apr
CFFEB
2 : 1 Bobo-Dioulasso
18 Apr
Bobo-Dioulasso
1 : 0 Sonabel Ouagadougou
11 Apr
Bobo-Dioulasso
2 : 1 ASF Dioulasso
Page 1 of 6
10 May
Bobo-Dioulasso
0 : 2 USFA
18 Apr
Bobo-Dioulasso
1 : 0 Sonabel Ouagadougou
11 Apr
Bobo-Dioulasso
2 : 1 ASF Dioulasso
21 Mar
Bobo-Dioulasso
1 : 1 AJE Bobo-Dioulasso
08 Mar
Bobo-Dioulasso
1 : 0 ASFA Yennega
Page 1 of 3
Sonabel Ouagadougou
(Away) 26 Sept
FocuSport
3 : 2 Sonabel Ouagadougou
18 Sept
Sonabel Ouagadougou
0 : 1 Majestic
10 May
Sonabel Ouagadougou
1 : 0 ASFA Yennega
03 May
Sonabel Ouagadougou
2 : 0 ASF Dioulasso
26 Apr
AS Douanes
2 : 1 Sonabel Ouagadougou
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
FocuSport
3 : 2 Sonabel Ouagadougou
26 Apr
AS Douanes
2 : 1 Sonabel Ouagadougou
18 Apr
Bobo-Dioulasso
1 : 0 Sonabel Ouagadougou
21 Mar
Majestic
2 : 2 Sonabel Ouagadougou
13 Mar
Vitesse
2 : 0 Sonabel Ouagadougou
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rahimo | 30 | 20 | 9 | 1 | 47:15 | 69 |
| 2 | USFA | 30 | 12 | 13 | 5 | 31:17 | 49 |
| 3 | Sporting Cascades | 30 | 10 | 13 | 7 | 25:18 | 43 |
| 4 | AS Douanes | 30 | 10 | 13 | 7 | 29:29 | 43 |
| 5 | Majestic | 30 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 26:27 | 43 |
| 6 | CFFEB | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 25:25 | 40 |
| 7 | Salitas | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 29:31 | 40 |
| 8 | Kadiogo | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 27:27 | 38 |
| 9 | ASFA Yennega | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 24:28 | 38 |
| 10 | Vitesse | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 25:25 | 37 |
| 11 | Real Du Faso | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 21:23 | 37 |
| 12 | ASF Dioulasso | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 25:31 | 37 |
| 13 | Sonabel Ouagadougou | 30 | 8 | 12 | 10 | 24:28 | 36 |
| 14 | Etoile Filante | 30 | 7 | 12 | 11 | 22:29 | 33 |
| 15 | Bobo-Dioulasso | 30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 11:28 | 27 |
| 16 | AJE Bobo-Dioulasso | 30 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 27:37 | 26 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
