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Boca Junior vs Botafogo ASF

Brazil Brazil

Sergipano 2 2024
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AI Match Summary

The Sergipano 2 2024 game between Boca Junior and Botafogo ASF finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Boca Junior
20%
Draws
80%
Botafogo ASF
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Botafogo ASF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Boca Junior come out ahead of Botafogo ASF on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Botafogo ASF's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Sergipano 2 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Boca Junior have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Boca Junior Clean Sheet 10%
Botafogo ASF Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Boca Junior Botafogo ASF
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 9 5
Draws 4 6
Losses 20 19
Goals Scored 1.06 0.77
Goals Conceded 2 2.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 9, 2024 Sergipano 2
Botafogo ASF vs Boca Junior
0:3
Aug 25, 2024 Sergipano 2
Boca Junior vs Botafogo ASF
0:0
Feb 5, 2017 Sergipano
Botafogo ASF vs Boca Junior
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Boca Junior 10 / 100
Botafogo ASF 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Boca Junior Botafogo ASF

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Botafogo ASF Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Botafogo ASF let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.33 goals as a typical output.

Boca Junior's goal record stands at 52% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Away concern: Botafogo ASF has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Boca Junior VS Botafogo ASF
1.13 Goals Scored 1.63
3.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Boca Junior

(Home)
01 Nov
Boca Junior
0 : 3
Olimpico EC
25 Oct
Boca Junior
0 : 3
Caninde
18 Oct
America de Pedrinhas
1 : 0
Boca Junior
15 Oct
Boca Junior
0 : 3
Atletico Gloriense
11 Oct
Frei Paulistano
5 : 1
Boca Junior
Page 1 of 7

Botafogo ASF

(Away)
19 Oct
Socorro
1 : 1
Botafogo ASF
16 Oct
Botafogo ASF
1 : 3
Socorro
11 Oct
CS Maruinense
3 : 1
Botafogo ASF
02 Oct
Botafogo ASF
3 : 0
Amadense
28 Sept
Riachao
2 : 2
Botafogo ASF
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Flamengo SE 8 7 0 1 13:1 21
2 Atletico Central 8 6 0 2 17:7 18
3 Aracaju FC 8 5 0 3 14:10 15
4 CS Maruinense 8 1 1 6 5:13 4
5 Socorro 8 0 1 7 1:19 1
Promotion - Sergipano 2 2024 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Desportiva Aracaju 8 7 1 0 16:4 22
2 Barra SE 8 6 1 1 19:4 19
3 Santa Cruz SE 8 3 0 5 12:15 9
4 Cotinguiba 8 1 1 6 7:14 4
5 Socorrense 8 1 1 6 1:18 4
Promotion - Sergipano 2 2024 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 America de Pedrinhas 8 6 0 2 20:9 18
2 Independente SE 8 3 4 1 12:11 13
3 Riachao 8 3 3 2 11:7 12
4 Amadense 8 3 1 4 15:18 10
5 AD Boquinhense 8 0 2 6 5:18 2
Promotion - Sergipano 2 2024 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Frei Paulistano 8 6 1 1 21:3 19
2 Boca Junior 8 5 1 2 14:8 16
3 Estanciano EC 8 3 1 4 11:12 10
4 Sete de Junho 8 2 1 5 6:15 7
5 Botafogo ASF 8 1 2 5 3:17 5
Promotion - Sergipano 2 2024 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guarany SE 8 6 1 1 23:6 19
2 Caninde 8 5 1 2 14:10 16
3 Forca Jovem Aquidaba 8 4 0 4 16:10 12
4 Propria 8 2 3 3 11:14 9
5 Coritiba SE 8 0 1 7 6:30 1
Promotion - Sergipano 2 2024 (Second stage)