Sport Picks
Boca Junior vs Frei Paulistano - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Brazil
Sergipano 2 2024 
AI Match Summary
The Sergipano 2 2024 game between Boca Junior and Frei Paulistano finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Frei Paulistano.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
0%
15%
85%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Frei Paulistano
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Frei Paulistano carry the better recent record into this one.
- 85% — that's where the model lands on Frei Paulistano taking it.
- Regular Sergipano 2 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Frei Paulistano have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Boca Junior Clean Sheet 10%
Frei Paulistano Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Boca Junior | Frei Paulistano |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 35 | 34 |
| Wins | 11 | 18 |
| Draws | 4 | 5 |
| Losses | 20 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.2 | 1.71 |
| Goals Conceded | 2 | 0.85 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 2.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 11, 2025 Sergipano 2
Frei Paulistano vs Boca Junior
5:1
Oct 13, 2024 Sergipano 2
Frei Paulistano vs Boca Junior
1:0
Oct 3, 2024 Sergipano 2
Boca Junior vs Frei Paulistano
0:2
Sep 1, 2024 Sergipano 2
Frei Paulistano vs Boca Junior
2:1
Mar 19, 2022 Sergipano
Frei Paulistano vs Boca Junior
4:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Boca Junior 10 / 100
Frei Paulistano 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Boca Junior Frei Paulistano
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Frei Paulistano Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 3.40 goals.
Boca Junior found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (35 games).
Frei Paulistano's defensive record shows goals conceded in 59% of 34 matches.
Difficult form: Frei Paulistano registered 1 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Boca Junior VS Frei Paulistano
1.13 Goals Scored 2
2.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Boca Junior
(Home) 01 Nov
Boca Junior
0 : 3 Olimpico EC
25 Oct
Boca Junior
0 : 3 Caninde
18 Oct
America de Pedrinhas
1 : 0 Boca Junior
15 Oct
Boca Junior
0 : 3 Atletico Gloriense
11 Oct
Frei Paulistano
5 : 1 Boca Junior
Page 1 of 7
01 Nov
Boca Junior
0 : 3 Olimpico EC
25 Oct
Boca Junior
0 : 3 Caninde
15 Oct
Boca Junior
0 : 3 Atletico Gloriense
05 Oct
Boca Junior
0 : 3 Atletico Central
20 Sept
Boca Junior
2 : 0 Independente SE
Page 1 of 4
Frei Paulistano
(Away) 01 Nov
Flamengo SE
0 : 4 Frei Paulistano
26 Oct
Atletico Central
0 : 1 Frei Paulistano
18 Oct
Frei Paulistano
0 : 1 Desportiva Aracaju
15 Oct
Independente SE
0 : 3 Frei Paulistano
11 Oct
Frei Paulistano
5 : 1 Boca Junior
Page 1 of 7
01 Nov
Flamengo SE
0 : 4 Frei Paulistano
26 Oct
Atletico Central
0 : 1 Frei Paulistano
15 Oct
Independente SE
0 : 3 Frei Paulistano
04 Oct
Olimpico EC
2 : 0 Frei Paulistano
20 Sept
America de Pedrinhas
3 : 3 Frei Paulistano
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo SE | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 13:1 | 21 |
| 2 | Atletico Central | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 17:7 | 18 |
| 3 | Aracaju FC | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 14:10 | 15 |
| 4 | CS Maruinense | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5:13 | 4 |
| 5 | Socorro | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1:19 | 1 |
Promotion - Sergipano 2 2024 (Second stage)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Desportiva Aracaju | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 16:4 | 22 |
| 2 | Barra SE | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 19:4 | 19 |
| 3 | Santa Cruz SE | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 12:15 | 9 |
| 4 | Cotinguiba | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7:14 | 4 |
| 5 | Socorrense | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 1:18 | 4 |
Promotion - Sergipano 2 2024 (Second stage)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | America de Pedrinhas | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 20:9 | 18 |
| 2 | Independente SE | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 12:11 | 13 |
| 3 | Riachao | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 11:7 | 12 |
| 4 | Amadense | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 15:18 | 10 |
| 5 | AD Boquinhense | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5:18 | 2 |
Promotion - Sergipano 2 2024 (Second stage)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Frei Paulistano | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 21:3 | 19 |
| 2 | Boca Junior | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 14:8 | 16 |
| 3 | Estanciano EC | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11:12 | 10 |
| 4 | Sete de Junho | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6:15 | 7 |
| 5 | Botafogo ASF | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 3:17 | 5 |
Promotion - Sergipano 2 2024 (Second stage)
League Standings (Group 5)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Guarany SE | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 23:6 | 19 |
| 2 | Caninde | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 14:10 | 16 |
| 3 | Forca Jovem Aquidaba | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 16:10 | 12 |
| 4 | Propria | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 11:14 | 9 |
| 5 | Coritiba SE | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6:30 | 1 |
Promotion - Sergipano 2 2024 (Second stage)
