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Boca Juniors de Cali vs Bogota - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Colombia Colombia

Primera B Estadio Olímpico Pascual Guerrero, Cali
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Sandoval Lasso H.
29' Event
Cuero J.
35'
Sanchez J.

AI Match Summary

Bogota in this Primera B matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bogota.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Boca Juniors de Cali
30%
Draws
19%
Bogota
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Boca Juniors de Cali

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Boca Juniors de Cali average 1.41 goals a game right now, well clear of Bogota's 0.9.
  • Win probability leans Boca Juniors de Cali's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Primera B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Boca Juniors de Cali Clean Sheet 68%
Bogota Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Boca Juniors de Cali Bogota
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 9
Draws 11 9
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1.41 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 25, 2026 Primera B
Boca Juniors de Cali vs Bogota
1:2
Feb 22, 2026 Primera B
Bogota vs Boca Juniors de Cali
2:1
Oct 3, 2025 Primera B
Boca Juniors de Cali vs Bogota
2:1
Apr 27, 2025 Primera B
Bogota vs Boca Juniors de Cali
1:0
Jul 30, 2024 Primera B
Bogota vs Boca Juniors de Cali
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Boca Juniors de Cali Compare

Top Goalscorer Cuero J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Bogota Compare

Top Goalscorer Sandoval Lasso H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Castro K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Boca Juniors de Cali 95 / 100
Bogota 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Boca Juniors de Cali Bogota

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Boca Juniors de Cali Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Boca Juniors de Cali scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Recent resilience: Boca Juniors de Cali stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Bogota let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Scoring Trends

Boca Juniors de Cali VS Bogota
2 Goals Scored 0.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Boca Juniors de Cali

(Home)
07 Oct
Boca Juniors de Cali
1 : 1
Union Magdalena
04 Oct
Cartagena
2 : 3
Boca Juniors de Cali
26 Sept
Boca Juniors de Cali
4 : 1
Patriotas
19 Sept
Leones
1 : 2
Boca Juniors de Cali
13 Sept
Boca Juniors de Cali
2 : 0
Real Santander
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Bogota

(Away)
05 Oct
Bogota
3 : 3
Envigado
28 Sept
Quindio
1 : 0
Bogota
21 Sept
Bogota
2 : 1
Barranquilla
14 Sept
Tigres Futbol Club
0 : 0
Bogota
04 Sept
Bogota
0 : 2
Independiente Valle del Cauca
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independiente Valle del Cauca 12 7 3 2 16:7 24
2 Real Cundinamarca 11 7 2 2 19:10 23
3 Tigres Futbol Club 12 6 4 2 14:5 22
4 Boca Juniors de Cali 11 5 3 3 18:14 18
5 Patriotas 11 5 2 4 17:17 17
6 Cartagena 12 4 4 4 21:16 16
7 Quindio 11 4 4 3 9:8 16
8 Atletico F.C. 12 4 3 5 15:19 15
9 Inter Palmira 11 4 2 5 8:12 14
10 Envigado 11 2 6 3 12:11 12
11 Union Magdalena 11 3 3 5 10:12 12
12 Bogota 11 3 3 5 9:13 12
13 Real Santander 11 2 6 3 13:18 12
14 Orsomarso 11 2 4 5 7:11 10
15 Leones 11 2 4 5 8:17 10
16 Barranquilla 11 2 3 6 11:17 9
Promotion - Primera B (Clausura - Quadrangular)