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Boca Juniors de Cali vs Real Santander - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Colombia Colombia

Primera B Estadio Olímpico Pascual Guerrero, Cali
Our Tip

Match Events

8'
Mosquera H.
25' Event
Salcedo J.
31'
Andrade J.

AI Match Summary

Boca Juniors de Cali in this Primera B matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Boca Juniors de Cali.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Boca Juniors de Cali
35%
Draws
12%
Real Santander
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Boca Juniors de Cali

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Real Santander haven't matched Boca Juniors de Cali's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Boca Juniors de Cali's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Primera B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.8%
Boca Juniors de Cali Clean Sheet 68%
Real Santander Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Boca Juniors de Cali Real Santander
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 9 3
Draws 11 10
Losses 8 15
Goals Scored 1.46 0.82
Goals Conceded 1.39 1.82
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Primera B
Boca Juniors de Cali vs Real Santander
2:0
May 12, 2026 Copa Colombia
Real Santander vs Boca Juniors de Cali
0:3
Mar 10, 2026 Primera B
Real Santander vs Boca Juniors de Cali
1:1
Aug 29, 2025 Primera B
Real Santander vs Boca Juniors de Cali
2:2
Mar 22, 2025 Primera B
Boca Juniors de Cali vs Real Santander
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Boca Juniors de Cali Compare

Top Goalscorer Salcedo J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cortes D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Real Santander Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Boca Juniors de Cali 95 / 100
Real Santander 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Boca Juniors de Cali Real Santander

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Boca Juniors de Cali Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Boca Juniors de Cali scored in 86% of their last 28 games.

Real Santander let in goals in 89% of their last 28 matches.

Recent resilience: Boca Juniors de Cali stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Scoring Trends

Boca Juniors de Cali VS Real Santander
2 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Boca Juniors de Cali

(Home)
07 Oct
Boca Juniors de Cali
1 : 1
Union Magdalena
04 Oct
Cartagena
2 : 3
Boca Juniors de Cali
26 Sept
Boca Juniors de Cali
4 : 1
Patriotas
19 Sept
Leones
1 : 2
Boca Juniors de Cali
13 Sept
Boca Juniors de Cali
2 : 0
Real Santander
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Real Santander

(Away)
03 Oct
Real Santander
1 : 3
Union Magdalena
26 Sept
Tigres Futbol Club
1 : 1
Real Santander
22 Sept
Real Santander
0 : 0
Orsomarso
13 Sept
Boca Juniors de Cali
2 : 0
Real Santander
05 Sept
Quindio
0 : 0
Real Santander
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independiente Valle del Cauca 12 7 3 2 16:7 24
2 Real Cundinamarca 12 7 2 3 19:11 23
3 Tigres Futbol Club 12 6 4 2 14:5 22
4 Boca Juniors de Cali 11 5 3 3 18:14 18
5 Patriotas 11 5 2 4 17:17 17
6 Cartagena 12 4 4 4 21:16 16
7 Quindio 11 4 4 3 9:8 16
8 Atletico F.C. 12 4 3 5 15:19 15
9 Real Santander 12 3 6 3 14:18 15
10 Inter Palmira 11 4 2 5 8:12 14
11 Envigado 11 2 6 3 12:11 12
12 Union Magdalena 11 3 3 5 10:12 12
13 Bogota 11 3 3 5 9:13 12
14 Orsomarso 11 2 4 5 7:11 10
15 Leones 11 2 4 5 8:17 10
16 Barranquilla 11 2 3 6 11:17 9
Promotion - Primera B (Clausura - Quadrangular)