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Boca Juniors W vs El Porvenir W

Argentina Argentina

Primera A Women 2023
Sun, Nov 26, 2023
3 - 0
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Boca Juniors W play El Porvenir W in the Primera A Women 2023. Boca Juniors W are favorites here. Recently, Boca Juniors W averaged 1.44 goals scored and 0.67 conceded. El Porvenir W averaged 0.77 goals scored and 2.1 conceded. In past meetings, Boca Juniors W won 5, El Porvenir W won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Nov 26, 2023 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.97 for Boca Juniors W and 1.25 for El Porvenir W. This points to a Boca Juniors W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

66%
Boca Juniors W
16%
Draws
18%
El Porvenir W
Draw rate projection: 16% Favored: Boca Juniors W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

92% / Very High Confidence
  • Boca Juniors W picked up more points recently compared to El Porvenir W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.97 vs 1.25 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 65%
Over 2.5 Goals 53%
Over 3.5 Goals 32%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31%
Boca Juniors W Clean Sheet 19%
El Porvenir W Clean Sheet 15%
First Half Goal 59%
Second Half Goal 62%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Boca Juniors W El Porvenir W
Matches Played 39 30
Wins 20 5
Draws 10 6
Losses 9 19
Goals Scored 1.44 0.77
Goals Conceded 0.67 2.1

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 26, 2023 Primera A Women
Boca Juniors W vs El Porvenir W
3:0
Apr 16, 2023 Primera A Women
El Porvenir W vs Boca Juniors W
0:3
Feb 25, 2022 Primera A Women
El Porvenir W vs Boca Juniors W
0:1
Oct 2, 2021 Primera A Women
El Porvenir W vs Boca Juniors W
0:3
May 8, 2021 Primera A Women
Boca Juniors W vs El Porvenir W
3:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Boca Juniors W 63 / 100
El Porvenir W 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Boca Juniors W El Porvenir W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Boca Juniors W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Boca Juniors W & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +13.5%
1.72
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.9%
2.13
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Boca Juniors W attacking → ← attacking El Porvenir W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Boca Juniors W scored in 67% of their last 39 games.

El Porvenir W let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Boca Juniors W went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

El Porvenir W lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

70 Points in last 5 21
0.75 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1UAI Urquiza W1071219:922
2San Lorenzo W1061313:919
3CA Belgrano de Cordoba W1053222:1118
4CA Banfield W1053216:1318
5River Plate W1052327:1417
6CA Independiente W1042416:1414
7Platense W1042410:1614
8Social Atletico Television W1032513:1411
9Estudiantes L.P. W101097:253
10Defensores de Belgrano W1000102:270
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Boca Juniors W1091024:428
2Racing Club W1080220:924
3Ferro W1061320:1119
4Huracan W1034311:1013
5Gimnasia L.P. W1034312:1213
6CA Estudiantes W1040611:1612
7Rosario Central W103259:1111
8Excursionistas W103256:1311
9Lanus W102358:159
10El Porvenir W101366:196