Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Bochum vs VfB Stuttgart

Germany Germany

DFB Pokal 2025/2026 Vonovia Ruhrstadion, Bochum
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Strompf P.
Own Goal
45'
Strompf P.
46'
Sub
Lenz C. In: Masovic E.
Out: Lenz C.

AI Match Summary

VfB Stuttgart in this DFB Pokal 2025/2026 tie, finishing 0-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Bochum
6%
Draws
90%
VfB Stuttgart
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: VfB Stuttgart

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • VfB Stuttgart have won more games recently than Bochum.
  • Win probability leans VfB Stuttgart's way, sitting at 90%.
  • VfB Stuttgart arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor VfB Stuttgart, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • VfB Stuttgart have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Bochum Clean Sheet 10%
VfB Stuttgart Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bochum VfB Stuttgart
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 11 17
Draws 11 6
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 1.63 3.63
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 3.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 3, 2025 DFB Pokal
Bochum vs VfB Stuttgart
0:2
Apr 5, 2025 Bundesliga
Bochum vs VfB Stuttgart
0:4
Nov 23, 2024 Bundesliga
VfB Stuttgart vs Bochum
2:0
Jan 20, 2024 Bundesliga
Bochum vs VfB Stuttgart
1:0
Aug 19, 2023 Bundesliga
VfB Stuttgart vs Bochum
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bochum Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

VfB Stuttgart Compare

Top Goalscorer Undav D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 3.3
Avg xA / game 2.02

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bochum 10 / 100
VfB Stuttgart 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bochum VfB Stuttgart

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick STU Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bochum found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

VfB Stuttgart let in goals in 68% of their last 31 matches.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Bochum stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bochum VS VfB Stuttgart
1.63 Goals Scored 3.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Bochum

(Home)
25 Jul
Werder Bremen
2 : 0
Bochum
21 Jul
Swansea
0 : 2
Bochum
15 Jul
Ajax
1 : 1
Bochum
11 Jul
Bochum
1 : 0
Antwerp
04 Jul
Rot-Weiss Oberhausen
2 : 3
Bochum
Page 1 of 6

VfB Stuttgart

(Away)
29 Jul
Kickers Offenbach
1 : 8
VfB Stuttgart
25 Jul
Hollenbach
0 : 5
VfB Stuttgart
19 Jul
Balingen
0 : 7
VfB Stuttgart
23 May
Bayern Munich
3 : 0
VfB Stuttgart
16 May
Eintracht Frankfurt
2 : 2
VfB Stuttgart
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Engers0
Eintracht Frankfurt5
RW Essen0
Dortmund1
FC Viktoria Koln1
Paderborn3
Sonnenhof Grossaspach0
Bayer Leverkusen4
Delmenhorst2
B. Monchengladbach3
Meuselwitz0
Karlsruher5
Eintracht Norderstedt0
St. Pauli1
Hansa Rostock0
Hoffenheim4
Gutersloh0
Union Berlin5
Arminia Bielefeld1
Werder Bremen0
Regensburg1
1. FC Koln2
Wehen2
Bayern Munich3
Energie Cottbus1
Hannover0
Sandhausen2
RB Leipzig4
Illertissen4
Nurnberg3
Saarbrucken1
Magdeburg3
Bahlinger0
Heidenheim5
Pirmasens1
Hamburger2
Hemelingen0
Wolfsburg9
FC 08 Homburg0
Holstein Kiel2
Hallescher0
Augsburg2
BFC Dynamo1
Bochum3
Dresden0
Mainz1
Braunschweig4
VfB Stuttgart5
Preussen Munster0
Hertha Berlin1
Ulm0
Elversberg1
Lohne0
Greuther Furth2
Rsv Eintracht0
Kaiserslautern7
1. FC Schweinfurt2
Dusseldorf4
Lotte0
Freiburg2
Lubeck1
Darmstadt2
Lokomotive Leipzig0
Schalke1
1/16-finals
Eintracht Frankfurt1
Dortmund2
Paderborn2
Bayer Leverkusen4
B. Monchengladbach3
Karlsruher1
St. Pauli3
Hoffenheim2
Union Berlin2
Arminia Bielefeld1
1. FC Koln1
Bayern Munich4
Energie Cottbus1
RB Leipzig4
Illertissen0
Magdeburg3
Heidenheim0
Hamburger1
Wolfsburg0
Holstein Kiel1
Augsburg0
Bochum1
Mainz0
VfB Stuttgart2
Hertha Berlin3
Elversberg0
Greuther Furth0
Kaiserslautern1
Dusseldorf1
Freiburg3
Darmstadt4
Schalke0
1/8-finals
Dortmund0
Bayer Leverkusen1
B. Monchengladbach1
St. Pauli2
Union Berlin2
Bayern Munich3
RB Leipzig3
Magdeburg1
Hamburger1
Holstein Kiel2
Bochum0
VfB Stuttgart2
Hertha Berlin6
Kaiserslautern1
Freiburg2
Darmstadt0
Quarter-finals
Bayer Leverkusen3
St. Pauli0
Bayern Munich2
RB Leipzig0
Holstein Kiel0
VfB Stuttgart3
Hertha Berlin1
Freiburg2
Semi-finals
Bayer Leverkusen0
Bayern Munich2
VfB Stuttgart2
Freiburg1
Final
Bayern Munich3
VfB Stuttgart0