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Stadium Background

Bochum vs VfB Stuttgart

Germany Germany

DFB Pokal 2025/2026 Vonovia Ruhrstadion, Bochum
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Strompf P.
Own Goal
45'
Strompf P.
46'
Sub
Lenz C. In: Masovic E.
Out: Lenz C.

AI Match Summary

VfB Stuttgart in this DFB Pokal 2025/2026 tie, finishing 0-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Bochum
15%
Draws
40%
VfB Stuttgart
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bochum

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • VfB Stuttgart have won more games recently than Bochum.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • VfB Stuttgart arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor VfB Stuttgart, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • VfB Stuttgart have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Bochum Clean Sheet 10%
VfB Stuttgart Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bochum VfB Stuttgart
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 14
Draws 10 6
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 1.24 2.59
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 3, 2025 DFB Pokal
Bochum vs VfB Stuttgart
0:2
Apr 5, 2025 Bundesliga
Bochum vs VfB Stuttgart
0:4
Nov 23, 2024 Bundesliga
VfB Stuttgart vs Bochum
2:0
Jan 20, 2024 Bundesliga
Bochum vs VfB Stuttgart
1:0
Aug 19, 2023 Bundesliga
VfB Stuttgart vs Bochum
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bochum Compare

Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

VfB Stuttgart Compare

Top Goalscorer Undav D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bochum 30 / 100
VfB Stuttgart 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bochum VfB Stuttgart

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bochum found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

VfB Stuttgart let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Bochum stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bochum VS VfB Stuttgart
0.75 Goals Scored 3.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Bochum

(Home)
12 Sept
Bochum
1 : 1
Greuther Furth
05 Sept
Dresden
1 : 2
Bochum
28 Aug
Bochum
0 : 1
VfL Osnabruck
23 Aug
Greuther Furth
1 : 2
Bochum
14 Aug
Braunschweig
0 : 1
Bochum
Page 1 of 6

VfB Stuttgart

(Away)
12 Sept
Hoffenheim
2 : 1
VfB Stuttgart
09 Sept
VfB Stuttgart
3 : 1
Viking
04 Sept
VfB Stuttgart
4 : 1
1. FC Koln
28 Aug
Bayern Munich
5 : 1
VfB Stuttgart
21 Aug
Hansa Rostock
0 : 4
VfB Stuttgart
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Engers 0
Eintracht Frankfurt 5
RW Essen 0
Dortmund 1
FC Viktoria Koln 1
Paderborn 3
Sonnenhof Grossaspach 0
Bayer Leverkusen 4
Delmenhorst 2
B. Monchengladbach 3
Meuselwitz 0
Karlsruher 5
Eintracht Norderstedt 0
St. Pauli 1
Hansa Rostock 0
Hoffenheim 4
Gutersloh 0
Union Berlin 5
Arminia Bielefeld 1
Werder Bremen 0
Regensburg 1
1. FC Koln 2
Wehen 2
Bayern Munich 3
Energie Cottbus 1
Hannover 0
Sandhausen 2
RB Leipzig 4
Illertissen 4
Nurnberg 3
Saarbrucken 1
Magdeburg 3
Bahlinger 0
Heidenheim 5
Pirmasens 1
Hamburger 2
Hemelingen 0
Wolfsburg 9
FC 08 Homburg 0
Holstein Kiel 2
Hallescher 0
Augsburg 2
BFC Dynamo 1
Bochum 3
Dresden 0
Mainz 1
Braunschweig 4
VfB Stuttgart 5
Preussen Munster 0
Hertha Berlin 1
Ulm 0
Elversberg 1
Lohne 0
Greuther Furth 2
Rsv Eintracht 0
Kaiserslautern 7
1. FC Schweinfurt 2
Dusseldorf 4
Lotte 0
Freiburg 2
Lubeck 1
Darmstadt 2
Lokomotive Leipzig 0
Schalke 1
1/16-finals
Eintracht Frankfurt 1
Dortmund 2
Paderborn 2
Bayer Leverkusen 4
B. Monchengladbach 3
Karlsruher 1
St. Pauli 3
Hoffenheim 2
Union Berlin 2
Arminia Bielefeld 1
1. FC Koln 1
Bayern Munich 4
Energie Cottbus 1
RB Leipzig 4
Illertissen 0
Magdeburg 3
Heidenheim 0
Hamburger 1
Wolfsburg 0
Holstein Kiel 1
Augsburg 0
Bochum 1
Mainz 0
VfB Stuttgart 2
Hertha Berlin 3
Elversberg 0
Greuther Furth 0
Kaiserslautern 1
Dusseldorf 1
Freiburg 3
Darmstadt 4
Schalke 0
1/8-finals
Dortmund 0
Bayer Leverkusen 1
B. Monchengladbach 1
St. Pauli 2
Union Berlin 2
Bayern Munich 3
RB Leipzig 3
Magdeburg 1
Hamburger 1
Holstein Kiel 2
Bochum 0
VfB Stuttgart 2
Hertha Berlin 6
Kaiserslautern 1
Freiburg 2
Darmstadt 0
Quarter-finals
Bayer Leverkusen 3
St. Pauli 0
Bayern Munich 2
RB Leipzig 0
Holstein Kiel 0
VfB Stuttgart 3
Hertha Berlin 1
Freiburg 2
Semi-finals
Bayer Leverkusen 0
Bayern Munich 2
VfB Stuttgart 2
Freiburg 1
Final
Bayern Munich 3
VfB Stuttgart 0