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Boden City vs Bergnasets AIK

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Norrland 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Johansson J.
38' Event
Monteiro B.
45' Event
Johnson P. I.

AI Match Summary

Boden City in this Division 2 - Norrland 2025 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Boden City.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Boden City
20%
Draws
29%
Bergnasets AIK
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Boden City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Bergnasets AIK lately — more wins on the board than Boden City.
  • Model gives Boden City a 51% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Boden City Clean Sheet 10%
Bergnasets AIK Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Boden City Bergnasets AIK
Matches Played 24 30
Wins 5 9
Draws 5 6
Losses 14 15
Goals Scored 1.25 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.92 2.17
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 15, 2025 Division 2 - Norrland
Boden City vs Bergnasets AIK
3:2
Aug 2, 2025 Division 2 - Norrland
Bergnasets AIK vs Boden City
4:2
Jun 9, 2025 Division 2 - Norrland
Bergnasets AIK vs Boden City
0:0
May 3, 2025 Division 2 - Norrland
Boden City vs Bergnasets AIK
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Boden City Compare

Top Goalscorer Monteiro B.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Jesus A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Bergnasets AIK Compare

Top Goalscorer Johansson J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Johnson P. I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Boden City 56 / 100
Bergnasets AIK 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Boden City Bergnasets AIK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Boden City Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Bergnasets AIK conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.25 goals when they meet.

Boden City's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 24 recent games.

Solid form: Boden City remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Boden City VS Bergnasets AIK
1.25 Goals Scored 2
2 Goals Conceded 2.88
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Boden City

(Home)
18 Oct
Boden
1 : 3
Boden City
15 Oct
Boden City
0 : 1
Taftea IK
11 Oct
Friska Viljor
2 : 3
Boden City
05 Oct
Boden City
0 : 0
Kiruna
27 Sept
Lucksta IF
3 : 1
Boden City
Page 1 of 5

Bergnasets AIK

(Away)
15 Oct
Bergnasets AIK
3 : 0
Boden
11 Oct
Taftea IK
3 : 0
Bergnasets AIK
04 Oct
Bergnasets AIK
3 : 4
Friska Viljor
27 Sept
Kiruna
4 : 4
Bergnasets AIK
20 Sept
Bergnasets AIK
1 : 2
Lucksta IF
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Friska Viljor 12 8 0 4 33:27 28
2 Boden 12 6 1 5 21:22 23
3 Taftea IK 12 7 1 4 22:15 22
4 Lucksta IF 12 6 0 6 23:23 20
5 Kiruna 12 4 3 5 19:19 17
6 Bergnasets AIK 12 3 2 7 24:30 17
7 Boden City 12 4 1 7 18:24 13
Relegation - Division 2 - Norrland 2025 (Relegation)