Sport Picks
Match Events
4'
4'
Gabrial T.
44'
44'
Warell M.
66'
66'
Turay A.
AI Match Summary
The Division 2 - Norrland 2025 game between Boden and Bergnasets AIK finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Boden.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
30%
31%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Boden
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
31%
/ Low Confidence
- Boden carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
- Regular Division 2 - Norrland 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Boden Clean Sheet 20%
Bergnasets AIK Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Boden | Bergnasets AIK |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 12 | 9 |
| Draws | 8 | 6 |
| Losses | 11 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.61 | 1.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.65 | 2.17 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.23 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 15, 2025 Division 2 - Norrland
Bergnasets AIK vs Boden
3:0
Sep 3, 2025 Division 2 - Norrland
Boden vs Bergnasets AIK
2:2
Jun 13, 2025 Division 2 - Norrland
Boden vs Bergnasets AIK
2:1
May 9, 2025 Division 2 - Norrland
Bergnasets AIK vs Boden
1:0
Sep 14, 2024 Division 2 - Norrland
Bergnasets AIK vs Boden
0:6
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Boden Compare
Top Goalscorer Gabrial T.
1 Goals Assists Leader Turay A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61
Bergnasets AIK Compare
Top Goalscorer Warell M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Boden 36 / 100
Bergnasets AIK 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Boden Bergnasets AIK
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Bergnasets AIK Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Boden scored in 87% of their last 31 games.
Bergnasets AIK let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.
These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.
Boden went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Boden VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Boden
(Home) 12 Sept
Kubikenborgs
6 : 1 Boden
05 Sept
Boden
1 : 2 Kubikenborgs
29 Aug
Skelleftea
2 : 2 Boden
22 Aug
Boden
2 : 2 IFK Ostersund
15 Aug
Boden
3 : 2 Gottne IF
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05 Sept
Boden
1 : 2 Kubikenborgs
22 Aug
Boden
2 : 2 IFK Ostersund
15 Aug
Boden
3 : 2 Gottne IF
08 Aug
Boden
2 : 1 Taftea IK
22 Jun
Boden
1 : 4 IFK Lulea
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Bergnasets AIK
(Away) 15 Oct
Bergnasets AIK
3 : 0 Boden
11 Oct
Taftea IK
3 : 0 Bergnasets AIK
04 Oct
Bergnasets AIK
3 : 4 Friska Viljor
27 Sept
Kiruna
4 : 4 Bergnasets AIK
20 Sept
Bergnasets AIK
1 : 2 Lucksta IF
Page 1 of 6
11 Oct
Taftea IK
3 : 0 Bergnasets AIK
27 Sept
Kiruna
4 : 4 Bergnasets AIK
15 Sept
Boden City
3 : 2 Bergnasets AIK
03 Sept
Boden
2 : 2 Bergnasets AIK
17 Aug
Friska Viljor
5 : 2 Bergnasets AIK
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pitea | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 32:12 | 29 |
| 2 | Skelleftea | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 24:16 | 23 |
| 3 | IFK Lulea | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 21:11 | 22 |
| 4 | Bergnasets AIK | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 12:20 | 13 |
| 5 | Boden | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 10:20 | 12 |
| 6 | Kiruna | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 13:23 | 8 |
| 7 | Boden City | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 12:22 | 7 |
Promotion - Division 2 - Norrland 2025 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Norrland 2025 (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Norrland 2025 (Relegation Group)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | IFK Ostersund | 12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 39:18 | 28 |
| 2 | Umea FC Akademi | 12 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 32:19 | 24 |
| 3 | Kubikenborgs | 12 | 7 | 0 | 5 | 20:22 | 21 |
| 4 | Gottne IF | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 18:21 | 16 |
| 5 | Friska Viljor | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 24:25 | 15 |
| 6 | Lucksta IF | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 19:30 | 10 |
| 7 | Taftea IK | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 11:28 | 9 |
Promotion - Division 2 - Norrland 2025 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Norrland 2025 (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Norrland 2025 (Relegation Group)
