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Boden vs IFK Umea

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Norrland
Our Tip

Match Events

75' Event
Roberts W.
80' Event
Bello M.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 - Norrland game between Boden and IFK Umea finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Boden.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Boden
6%
Draws
4%
IFK Umea
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Boden

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Boden come out ahead of IFK Umea on wins alone.
  • Boden are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Division 2 - Norrland form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Boden Clean Sheet 20%
IFK Umea Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Boden IFK Umea
Matches Played 35 29
Wins 15 3
Draws 9 4
Losses 11 22
Goals Scored 1.25 0.63
Goals Conceded 1 3.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 3.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 Division 2 - Norrland
IFK Umea vs Boden
0:1
Apr 11, 2026 Division 2 - Norrland
Boden vs IFK Umea
2:0
Sep 12, 2020 Division 2 - Norrland
Boden vs IFK Umea
3:1
May 21, 2020 Division 2 - Norrland
IFK Umea vs Boden
0:0
Aug 25, 2018 Division 2 - Norrland
IFK Umea vs Boden
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Boden Compare

Top Goalscorer Roberts W.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

IFK Umea Compare

Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Boden 85 / 100
IFK Umea 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Boden IFK Umea

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BOD Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Boden scored in 83% of their last 35 outings.

IFK Umea has conceded goals in 100% of their last 29 outings.

Boden has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Difficult form: IFK Umea registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Boden VS IFK Umea
1.25 Goals Scored 0.63
1 Goals Conceded 3.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Skelleftea1283126:827
2Taftea IK1281334:1325
3IFK Lulea1281332:1425
4Boden1245315:1417
5Umea FC Akademi1225517:2911
6Storfors AIK1222814:328
7IFK Umea12111010:384
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Kubikenborgs1272325:1623
2Gottne IF1272329:2423
3Lucksta IF1253426:2618
4IFK Ostersund1245323:2017
5Friska Viljor1226423:2112
6Umea FF1225522:2611
7Fransta IK1223717:329