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Stadium Background

Boden vs Kiruna

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Norrland 2025
Boden Logo

Boden

2 - 1
FT
Kiruna Logo

Kiruna

Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
David V.
45' Event
Hereka M.
68' Event
Sedunov L.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Boden in this Division 2 - Norrland 2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Boden.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Boden
20%
Draws
50%
Kiruna
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Kiruna

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Boden lately — more wins on the board than Kiruna.
  • Win probability leans Kiruna's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Boden have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Boden Clean Sheet 20%
Kiruna Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Boden Kiruna
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 13 6
Draws 8 11
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.41 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.66 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2025 Division 2 - Norrland
Boden vs Kiruna
2:1
Aug 10, 2025 Division 2 - Norrland
Kiruna vs Boden
1:3
May 29, 2025 Division 2 - Norrland
Boden vs Kiruna
4:3
Apr 17, 2025 Division 2 - Norrland
Kiruna vs Boden
0:0
Aug 30, 2024 Division 2 - Norrland
Kiruna vs Boden
1:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Boden Compare

Top Goalscorer David V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sedunov L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Kiruna Compare

Top Goalscorer Hereka M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Boden 10 / 100
Kiruna 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Boden Kiruna

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kiruna Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Boden found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (32 games).

Games between these two average 4.20 goals.

Kiruna's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Boden went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Boden VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Boden

(Home)
26 Sept
IFK Ostersund
2 : 0
Boden
19 Sept
Boden
0 : 2
Skelleftea
16 Sept
Boden
1 : 0
IFK Lulea
12 Sept
Kubikenborgs
6 : 1
Boden
05 Sept
Boden
1 : 2
Kubikenborgs
Page 1 of 7

Kiruna

(Away)
01 Nov
Kiruna
1 : 1
IFK Umea
25 Oct
IFK Umea
2 : 1
Kiruna
18 Oct
Friska Viljor
0 : 4
Kiruna
11 Oct
Kiruna
1 : 2
Lucksta IF
05 Oct
Boden City
0 : 0
Kiruna
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Friska Viljor 12 8 0 4 33:27 28
2 Boden 12 6 1 5 21:22 23
3 Taftea IK 12 7 1 4 22:15 22
4 Lucksta IF 12 6 0 6 23:23 20
5 Kiruna 12 4 3 5 19:19 17
6 Bergnasets AIK 12 3 2 7 24:30 17
7 Boden City 12 4 1 7 18:24 13
Relegation - Division 2 - Norrland 2025 (Relegation)