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Boden vs Lucksta IF - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Norrland
Boden Logo

Boden

Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Lucksta IF Logo

Lucksta IF

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Boden host Lucksta IF in the Division 2 - Norrland. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Boden have averaged 1.25 scored and 1.82 conceded recently, against Lucksta IF's 1.75 scored and 2.5 conceded. Past meetings favor Boden slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 1, 2026, ending 3:0. The numbers (1.69 xG vs 1.88) point toward Boden. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Boden
15%
Draws
42%
Lucksta IF
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Boden

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Boden come out ahead of Lucksta IF on wins alone.
  • Model gives Boden a 43% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Boden Clean Sheet 10%
Lucksta IF Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Boden Lucksta IF
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 9 8
Draws 7 4
Losses 12 16
Goals Scored 1.25 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.82 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 Division 2 - Norrland
Lucksta IF vs Boden
3:0
Sep 13, 2025 Division 2 - Norrland
Lucksta IF vs Boden
1:3
Aug 2, 2025 Division 2 - Norrland
Boden vs Lucksta IF
1:2
Aug 10, 2024 Division 2 - Norrland
Boden vs Lucksta IF
3:1
Apr 7, 2024 Division 2 - Norrland
Lucksta IF vs Boden
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Boden 47 / 100
Lucksta IF 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Boden Lucksta IF

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Boden Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Boden scored in 82% of their last 28 outings.

Defensive concern: Lucksta IF conceded in 89% of 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Lucksta IF's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Boden VS Lucksta IF
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
2.5 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Boden

(Home)
03 Oct
Gottne IF
4 : 2
Boden
26 Sept
IFK Ostersund
2 : 0
Boden
19 Sept
Boden
0 : 2
Skelleftea
16 Sept
Boden
1 : 0
IFK Lulea
12 Sept
Kubikenborgs
6 : 1
Boden
Page 1 of 6

Lucksta IF

(Away)
03 Oct
Lucksta IF
2 : 5
IFK Ostersund
27 Sept
Lucksta IF
1 : 2
Taftea IK
19 Sept
IFK Lulea
3 : 1
Lucksta IF
16 Sept
Kubikenborgs
4 : 2
Lucksta IF
12 Sept
Lucksta IF
4 : 2
Gottne IF
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kubikenborgs 12 9 0 3 31:13 50
2 IFK Lulea 12 8 0 4 20:16 49
3 Skelleftea 12 5 3 4 21:22 45
4 IFK Ostersund 12 7 2 3 33:18 40
5 Taftea IK 12 5 0 7 19:26 40
6 Gottne IF 12 3 2 7 20:25 34
7 Boden 12 4 2 6 15:26 31
8 Lucksta IF 12 2 1 9 16:29 25
Promotion - Division 2 - Norra Götaland (Promotion Group)