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Boden vs Storfors AIK - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Norrland
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Bello M.
88' Event
Bello M.

AI Match Summary

Boden in this Division 2 - Norrland matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Boden.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Boden
15%
Draws
59%
Storfors AIK
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Storfors AIK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Boden have won more games recently than Storfors AIK.
  • 59% — that's where the model lands on Storfors AIK taking it.
  • Regular Division 2 - Norrland form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Boden have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Boden Clean Sheet 13%
Storfors AIK Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Boden Storfors AIK
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 8
Draws 7 4
Losses 12 17
Goals Scored 1.28 1.72
Goals Conceded 1.79 2.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 7, 2026 Division 2 - Norrland
Storfors AIK vs Boden
0:2
May 1, 2026 Division 2 - Norrland
Boden vs Storfors AIK
2:0
Aug 18, 2022 Division 2 - Norrland
Storfors AIK vs Boden
0:1
Apr 29, 2022 Division 2 - Norrland
Boden vs Storfors AIK
2:0
Oct 9, 2021 Division 2 - Norrland
Boden vs Storfors AIK
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Boden Compare

Top Goalscorer Bello M.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Storfors AIK Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Boden 11 / 100
Storfors AIK 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Boden Storfors AIK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Storfors AIK Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Boden scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Storfors AIK's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Boden has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Boden VS Storfors AIK
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
2 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Boden

(Home)
03 Oct
Gottne IF
4 : 2
Boden
26 Sept
IFK Ostersund
2 : 0
Boden
19 Sept
Boden
0 : 2
Skelleftea
16 Sept
Boden
1 : 0
IFK Lulea
12 Sept
Kubikenborgs
6 : 1
Boden
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Storfors AIK

(Away)
04 Oct
Fransta IK
0 : 1
Storfors AIK
26 Sept
Storfors AIK
0 : 3
Friska Viljor
19 Sept
Storfors AIK
1 : 1
IFK Umea
12 Sept
Umea FF
0 : 3
Storfors AIK
05 Sept
Umea FC Akademi
3 : 1
Storfors AIK
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Skelleftea 12 8 3 1 26:8 27
2 Taftea IK 12 8 1 3 34:13 25
3 IFK Lulea 12 8 1 3 32:14 25
4 Boden 12 4 5 3 15:14 17
5 Umea FC Akademi 12 2 5 5 17:29 11
6 Storfors AIK 12 2 2 8 14:32 8
7 IFK Umea 12 1 1 10 10:38 4
Promotion - Division 2 - Norrland (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Norrland (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kubikenborgs 12 7 2 3 25:16 23
2 Gottne IF 12 7 2 3 29:24 23
3 Lucksta IF 12 5 3 4 26:26 18
4 IFK Ostersund 12 4 5 3 23:20 17
5 Friska Viljor 12 2 6 4 23:21 12
6 Umea FF 12 2 5 5 22:26 11
7 Fransta IK 12 2 3 7 17:32 9
Promotion - Division 2 - Norrland (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Norrland (Relegation Group)