Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Bodo/Glimt vs Lillestrom

Norway Norway

Eliteserien Aspmyra Stadion, Bodø
Fri, Jul 31, 2026
VS
07:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Bodo/Glimt host Lillestrom in the Eliteserien. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Bodo/Glimt have averaged 3.13 scored and 0.63 conceded recently, against Lillestrom's 1.38 scored and 1.5 conceded. Head-to-head, Bodo/Glimt have won 4 to Lillestrom's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Apr 26, 2026, ending 0:2. The numbers (2.31 xG vs 1.00) point toward Bodo/Glimt. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Bodo/Glimt
11%
Draws
9%
Lillestrom
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Bodo/Glimt

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Bodo/Glimt come out ahead of Lillestrom on wins alone.
  • Model gives Bodo/Glimt a 80% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Eliteserien form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Bodo/Glimt have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Bodo/Glimt Clean Sheet 20%
Lillestrom Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bodo/Glimt Lillestrom
Matches Played 31 33
Wins 25 17
Draws 2 4
Losses 4 12
Goals Scored 3.13 1.38
Goals Conceded 0.63 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 3.13 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Eliteserien
Lillestrom vs Bodo/Glimt
0:2
Mar 22, 2026 NM Cup
Bodo/Glimt vs Lillestrom
4:0
Dec 1, 2024 Eliteserien
Bodo/Glimt vs Lillestrom
5:2
May 1, 2024 NM Cup
Bodo/Glimt vs Lillestrom
2:4
Apr 14, 2024 Eliteserien
Lillestrom vs Bodo/Glimt
0:5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bodo/Glimt 76 / 100
Lillestrom 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bodo/Glimt Lillestrom

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BOD Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Bodo/Glimt scored in 90% of their last 31 outings.

These sides typically produce 4.80 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Bodo/Glimt stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Lillestrom conceded in 70% of 33 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Bodo/Glimt VS Lillestrom
3.13 Goals Scored 1.38
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Bodo/Glimt

(Home)
26 Jul
Sandefjord
0 : 3
Bodo/Glimt
22 Jul
Bodo/Glimt
3 : 0
Ham-Kam
17 Jul
Bodo/Glimt
1 : 0
Fredrikstad
12 Jul
KFUM Oslo
0 : 2
Bodo/Glimt
04 Jul
Bodo/Glimt
4 : 0
Start
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Lillestrom

(Away)
22 Jul
Lillestrom
1 : 2
Viking
18 Jul
Lillestrom
2 : 1
KFUM Oslo
11 Jul
Fredrikstad
0 : 2
Lillestrom
03 Jul
Lillestrom
3 : 1
Sarpsborg 08
26 Jun
Lillestrom
2 : 3
Degerfors
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Bodo/Glimt15112237:1135
2Viking14111234:1434
3Tromso1594226:1531
4Lillestrom1481522:1425
5Molde1472525:1923
6Sarpsborg 081463515:1621
7Valerenga1462622:2420
8Brann1561830:2519
9Rosenborg1453619:1818
10Ham-Kam1453620:2618
11Sandefjord1443713:2015
12Fredrikstad1442815:2714
13Aalesund1427519:2913
14KFUM Oslo1433815:2512
15Kristiansund1433812:2312
16Start1524916:3410
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen 2027 (Main)