Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Bodo/Glimt W vs Valerenga W

Norway Norway

Toppserien Women Aspmyra Stadion, Bodø
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Preus M.
40' Event
Arnesen R.
61'
Sub
Cagnina C. In: Storsletten J.
Out: Cagnina C.

AI Match Summary

The Toppserien Women game between Bodo/Glimt W and Valerenga W finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Valerenga W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Bodo/Glimt W
15%
Draws
64%
Valerenga W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Valerenga W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Valerenga W come out ahead of Bodo/Glimt W on wins alone.
  • Model gives Valerenga W a 64% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Valerenga W have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Bodo/Glimt W Clean Sheet 10%
Valerenga W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bodo/Glimt W Valerenga W
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 2 19
Draws 4 2
Losses 23 9
Goals Scored 0.83 2.57
Goals Conceded 3.28 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 2.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 14, 2026 Toppserien Women
Bodo/Glimt W vs Valerenga W
1:4
May 26, 2026 Toppserien Women
Valerenga W vs Bodo/Glimt W
7:1
Oct 3, 2025 Toppserien Women
Bodo/Glimt W vs Valerenga W
1:4
Jun 14, 2025 Toppserien Women
Bodo/Glimt W vs Valerenga W
0:3
May 10, 2025 Toppserien Women
Valerenga W vs Bodo/Glimt W
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bodo/Glimt W Compare

Top Goalscorer Foley S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Valerenga W Compare

Top Goalscorer Preus M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Arnesen R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.5
Avg xA / game 1.53

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bodo/Glimt W 10 / 100
Valerenga W 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bodo/Glimt W Valerenga W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Valerenga W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Bodo/Glimt W scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Valerenga W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Bodo/Glimt W stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bodo/Glimt W VS Valerenga W
0.75 Goals Scored 2.88
2.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Bodo/Glimt W

(Home)
25 Sept
Bodo/Glimt W
2 : 1
Roa W
19 Sept
Brann W
4 : 0
Bodo/Glimt W
11 Sept
Bodo/Glimt W
0 : 2
Aalesund W
01 Sept
LSK Kvinner W
1 : 1
Bodo/Glimt W
22 Aug
Stabaek W
7 : 1
Bodo/Glimt W
Page 1 of 6

Valerenga W

(Away)
26 Sept
Molde W
0 : 4
Valerenga W
23 Sept
Feyenoord W
4 : 1
Valerenga W
17 Sept
Valerenga W
2 : 1
Haugesund W
11 Sept
Roa W
3 : 6
Valerenga W
02 Sept
Valerenga W
7 : 1
Radomlje W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brann W 17 15 2 0 53:4 47
2 Aalesund W 17 13 2 2 42:16 41
3 Rosenborg W 17 11 4 2 32:19 37
4 Valerenga W 17 11 1 5 45:24 34
5 Stabaek W 17 7 3 7 33:20 24
6 Lyn W 17 6 5 6 30:23 23
7 Molde W 17 5 3 9 23:33 18
8 Haugesund W 17 5 3 9 22:40 18
9 LSK Kvinner W 17 4 3 10 23:33 15
10 Honefoss W 17 3 4 10 13:30 13
11 Roa W 17 2 5 10 16:36 11
12 Bodo/Glimt W 17 1 3 13 11:65 6
Promotion - UEFA Europa Cup Women (Qualification)
Relegation - Toppserien Women (Relegation)
Relegation - Division 1 Women 2027 (Main)