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Bodoland FC vs Army Red - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

India India

Durand Cup 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Murmu S.
90' Event
Meitei N. S.
(Penalty)
90'
Malla Thakuri B.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-2, with Army Red advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Bodoland FC
15%
Draws
49%
Army Red
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Army Red

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Army Red carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 49% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Army Red arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Army Red, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 35%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
Bodoland FC Clean Sheet 18%
Army Red Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bodoland FC Army Red
Matches Played 13 29
Wins 8 15
Draws 0 5
Losses 5 9
Goals Scored 1.92 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.54 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.27 1.35
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 17, 2023 Durand Cup
Bodoland FC vs Army Red
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bodoland FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Aidoo J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.98
Avg xA / game 0.64

Army Red Compare

Top Goalscorer Murmu S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.23
Avg xA / game 0.75

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bodoland FC 32 / 100
Army Red 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bodoland FC Army Red

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Army Red Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bodoland FC scored in 69% of their last 13 games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Solid form: Bodoland FC remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Army Red let in goals in 59% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Bodoland FC VS Army Red
2.29 Goals Scored 1.13
1.57 Goals Conceded 0.25
86% Over 1.5 25%
86% Over 2.5 25%
57% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Bodoland FC

(Home)
13 Aug
Bodoland FC
6 : 0
Karbi Anglong
06 Aug
Bodoland FC
3 : 0
FC 1
01 Aug
North East United
6 : 0
Bodoland FC
16 Aug
Bodoland FC
0 : 4
North East United
12 Aug
Bodoland FC
4 : 0
Indo-Tibetan Border Police
Page 1 of 3

Army Red

(Away)
16 Aug
Army Red
0 : 1
East Bengal
12 Aug
Mohammedan
1 : 2
Army Red
05 Aug
Army Red
4 : 0
Baghpat
26 Jul
Army Red
1 : 0
Samaleswari SC
11 Aug
Army Red
4 : 2
1 Ladakh
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 East Bengal 3 2 1 0 4:2 7
2 Mohun Bagan 3 2 0 1 7:1 6
3 Bangladesh Army 3 0 2 1 2:7 2
4 Minerva Punjab 3 0 1 2 0:3 1
Promotion - Durand Cup 2023 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mumbai City 3 3 0 0 12:1 9
2 Mohammedan 3 2 0 1 9:4 6
3 Jamshedpur 3 1 0 2 1:11 3
4 Indian Navy 3 0 0 3 1:7 0
Promotion - Durand Cup 2023 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gokulam 3 2 0 1 6:5 6
2 Bengaluru FC 3 1 2 0 5:3 5
3 Kerala Blasters 3 1 1 1 10:6 4
4 Indian Air Force (New Delhi) 3 0 1 2 1:8 1
Promotion - Durand Cup 2023 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Goa 3 2 1 0 11:2 7
2 North East United 3 2 1 0 9:3 7
3 Lajong 3 1 0 2 2:11 3
4 Downtown Heroes 3 0 0 3 2:8 0
Promotion - Durand Cup 2023 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chennaiyin FC 3 3 0 0 8:2 9
2 Hyderabad 3 1 1 1 5:4 4
3 Delhi FC 3 0 2 1 3:4 2
4 Nepal Army 3 0 1 2 1:7 1
Promotion - Durand Cup 2023 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Army Red 3 2 1 0 3:1 7
2 Rajasthan United 3 1 1 1 2:2 4
3 Bodoland FC 3 1 0 2 3:4 3
4 Odisha FC 3 1 0 2 3:4 3
Promotion - Durand Cup 2023 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams