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Bodoland FC vs Border Security Force - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

India India

Durand Cup 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Dwimary M.
50' Event
Kishori
54' Event
Brahma J.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Bodoland FC in this Durand Cup 2024 tie, finishing 4-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Bodoland FC
15%
Draws
0%
Border Security Force
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bodoland FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Bodoland FC have won more games recently than Border Security Force.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Bodoland FC taking it.
  • Bodoland FC have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Bodoland FC, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 48%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Bodoland FC Clean Sheet 68%
Border Security Force Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bodoland FC Border Security Force
Matches Played 13 6
Wins 8 0
Draws 0 0
Losses 5 6
Goals Scored 1.92 0.67
Goals Conceded 1.54 4.67
Expected Goals (xG) 3.08 0.96
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 12, 2024 Durand Cup
Bodoland FC vs Border Security Force
4:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bodoland FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Dwimary M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Narzary S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.37
Avg xA / game 1.54

Border Security Force Compare

Top Goalscorer Kishori
2 Goals
Assists Leader Aasif M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.53

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bodoland FC 95 / 100
Border Security Force 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bodoland FC Border Security Force

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bodoland FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Border Security Force let in goals in 100% of their last 6 matches.

H2H data points to 7.00 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Border Security Force has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Bodoland FC scored in 69% of their last 13 games.

Scoring Trends

Bodoland FC VS Border Security Force
1.5 Goals Scored 0.67
1.25 Goals Conceded 4.67
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
13% Over 3.5 83%

Recent Form & Match History

Bodoland FC

(Home)
13 Aug
Bodoland FC
6 : 0
Karbi Anglong
06 Aug
Bodoland FC
3 : 0
FC 1
01 Aug
North East United
6 : 0
Bodoland FC
16 Aug
Bodoland FC
0 : 4
North East United
12 Aug
Bodoland FC
4 : 0
Indo-Tibetan Border Police
Page 1 of 3

Border Security Force

(Away)
07 Aug
Border Security Force
0 : 3
Mohammedan
04 Aug
Mohun Bagan
4 : 0
Border Security Force
01 Aug
Diamond Harbour
8 : 1
Border Security Force
12 Aug
Bodoland FC
4 : 3
Border Security Force
09 Aug
North East United
4 : 0
Border Security Force
Page 1 of 2

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mohun Bagan 2 2 0 0 7:0 7
2 East Bengal 2 2 0 0 6:2 7
3 Downtown Heroes 3 1 0 2 3:4 3
4 Indian Air Force (New Delhi) 3 0 0 3 1:11 0
Promotion - Durand Cup 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bengaluru FC 3 3 0 0 10:2 9
2 Mohammedan 3 1 1 1 4:4 4
3 Inter Kashi 3 1 1 1 3:5 4
4 Indian Navy 3 0 0 3 1:7 0
Promotion - Durand Cup 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kerala Blasters 3 2 1 0 16:1 7
2 Minerva Punjab 3 2 1 0 7:1 7
3 CISF Protectors 3 1 0 2 2:10 3
4 Mumbai City 3 0 0 3 0:13 0
Promotion - Durand Cup 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Army Red 3 3 0 0 7:2 9
2 Jamshedpur 3 2 0 1 7:4 6
3 Chennaiyin FC 3 1 0 2 3:4 3
4 Assam Rifles 3 0 0 3 1:8 0
5 Bangladesh Army 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Durand Cup 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 North East United 3 3 0 0 11:1 9
2 Bodoland FC 3 2 0 1 6:5 6
3 Odisha FC 3 1 0 2 6:7 3
4 Border Security Force 3 0 0 3 3:13 0
Promotion - Durand Cup 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lajong 3 2 1 0 4:1 7
2 FC Goa 3 2 1 0 7:5 7
3 Nepal Army 3 1 0 2 3:3 3
4 Rangdajied United 3 0 0 3 3:8 0
5 Hyderabad 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Durand Cup 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams