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Bodrumspor vs Derincespor - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Turkey Turkey

TFF 3. Lig Group 2 2016/2017
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Akturkoglu K.
85' Event
Kaya E.

AI Match Summary

Bodrumspor in this TFF 3. Lig Group 2 2016/2017 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bodrumspor.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Bodrumspor
30%
Draws
23%
Derincespor
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Bodrumspor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Bodrumspor have won more games recently than Derincespor.
  • Model gives Bodrumspor a 47% chance of winning this.
  • Regular TFF 3. Lig Group 2 2016/2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Bodrumspor Clean Sheet 20%
Derincespor Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bodrumspor Derincespor
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 13 4
Draws 11 9
Losses 8 17
Goals Scored 1.34 0.97
Goals Conceded 0.94 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 14, 2017 3. Lig Group 2
Bodrumspor vs Derincespor
2:0
Dec 4, 2016 3. Lig Group 2
Derincespor vs Bodrumspor
1:1
Jan 10, 2016 3. Lig Group 2
Derincespor vs Bodrumspor
0:1
Aug 23, 2015 3. Lig Group 2
Bodrumspor vs Derincespor
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bodrumspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Akturkoglu K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kaya E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

Derincespor Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bodrumspor 85 / 100
Derincespor 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bodrumspor Derincespor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bodrumspor Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Derincespor's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

Bodrumspor scored in 69% of their last 32 games.

Recent resilience: Bodrumspor stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Away concern: Derincespor has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Bodrumspor VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
0.5 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
0% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Bodrumspor

(Home)
20 Sept
Pendikspor
1 : 1
Bodrumspor
12 Sept
Bodrumspor
4 : 0
Batman Petrolspor
07 Sept
Mardin 1969
1 : 0
Bodrumspor
03 Sept
Bodrumspor
0 : 0
Erokspor
30 Aug
Manisa FK
0 : 0
Bodrumspor
Page 1 of 7

Derincespor

(Away)
29 Apr
Erbaaspor
4 : 1
Derincespor
23 Apr
Derincespor
1 : 3
Pazarspor
14 Apr
Bodrumspor
2 : 0
Derincespor
09 Apr
Derincespor
3 : 1
Dersim Spor
02 Apr
Duzcespor
4 : 2
Derincespor
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bodrumspor 34 19 8 7 59:31 65
2 Erbaaspor 34 16 12 6 48:29 60
3 Silivrispor 34 16 10 8 34:25 58
4 Manisa FK 34 15 13 6 59:37 58
5 Catalca Spor 34 15 10 9 42:33 55
6 Duzcespor 34 14 12 8 55:46 54
7 Beyoglu Yeni Carsi 34 15 8 11 46:39 53
8 Kirikhanspor 34 12 11 11 36:39 47
9 Kemerspor 2003 34 11 12 11 52:45 45
10 Yomraspor 34 10 14 10 28:29 44
11 Bucaspor 1928 34 11 10 13 41:46 43
12 Batman Petrolspor 34 11 10 13 38:38 43
13 Yesil Bursa 34 11 8 15 40:35 41
14 Dardanelspor 34 11 8 15 42:54 41
15 Pazarspor 34 11 6 17 34:46 39
16 Dersim Spor 34 9 6 19 33:54 33
17 Derincespor 34 5 11 18 31:59 26
18 Kirikkale FK 34 4 11 19 28:61 23
Promotion - TFF 3. Lig Group 1 2016/2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - TFF 3. Lig Group 1 2016/2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - TFF 3. Lig Group 1 2016/2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - TFF 3. Lig Group 1 2016/2017 (Play Offs)