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Boeung Ket vs Svay Rieng - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Cambodia Cambodia

Hun Sen Cup National Olympic Stadium, Phnom Penh
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Patrick
86' Event
Fernandes I.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-2. The second leg ended 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Boeung Ket
20%
Draws
40%
Svay Rieng
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Svay Rieng come out ahead of Boeung Ket on wins alone.
  • Boeung Ket are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Svay Rieng arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Boeung Ket, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Boeung Ket Clean Sheet 10%
Svay Rieng Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Boeung Ket Svay Rieng
Matches Played 31 37
Wins 14 21
Draws 9 7
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 1.61 2.43
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.49
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 20, 2026 Hun Sen Cup
Svay Rieng vs Boeung Ket
3:2
May 7, 2026 CPL
Svay Rieng vs Boeung Ket
2:3
Apr 29, 2026 Hun Sen Cup
Boeung Ket vs Svay Rieng
1:1
Mar 22, 2026 CPL
Boeung Ket vs Svay Rieng
0:0
Dec 27, 2025 CPL
Boeung Ket vs Svay Rieng
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Boeung Ket Compare

Top Goalscorer Fernandes I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.78
Avg xA / game 1.16

Svay Rieng Compare

Top Goalscorer Patrick
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Boeung Ket 47 / 100
Svay Rieng 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Boeung Ket Svay Rieng

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Boeung Ket Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Boeung Ket scored in 74% of their last 31 games.

Svay Rieng's defensive record shows goals conceded in 78% of 37 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Boeung Ket has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Boeung Ket VS Svay Rieng
2 Goals Scored 2.38
2 Goals Conceded 2.63
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Boeung Ket

(Home)
19 Sept
Boeung Ket
1 : 2
Visakha
06 Sept
Dangkor Senchey
3 : 3
Boeung Ket
20 May
Svay Rieng
3 : 2
Boeung Ket
17 May
Boeung Ket
4 : 3
Moi Kompong Dewa
07 May
Svay Rieng
2 : 3
Boeung Ket
Page 1 of 7

Svay Rieng

(Away)
08 Oct
Johor DT
6 : 0
Svay Rieng
20 Sept
Dangkor Senchey
1 : 1
Svay Rieng
17 Sept
Machida Zelvia
2 : 0
Svay Rieng
12 Sept
Svay Rieng
4 : 0
Tiffy Army
06 Sept
Kirivong Sok Sen Chey
0 : 3
Svay Rieng
Page 1 of 8

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Tiffy Army 0
Boeung Ket 4
Kirivong Sok Sen Chey 3
Svay Rieng 5
NagaWorld 2
Visakha 6
Dangkor Senchey 4
Phnom Penh Crown 2
Semi-finals
Boeung Ket 3
Svay Rieng 4
Visakha 7
Dangkor Senchey 1
Final
Svay Rieng 5
Visakha 4