Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Bogen vs Heimstetten

Germany Germany

Oberliga Bayern Süd 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Heimstetten in this Oberliga Bayern Süd 2016/2017 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Heimstetten.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Bogen
17%
Draws
70%
Heimstetten
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Heimstetten

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Bogen haven't matched Heimstetten's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Heimstetten a 70% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Bogen Clean Sheet 19%
Heimstetten Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bogen Heimstetten
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 6 12
Draws 4 5
Losses 20 11
Goals Scored 0 1.38
Goals Conceded 0 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2017 Oberliga Bayern Süd
Bogen vs Heimstetten
1:2
Jul 29, 2016 Oberliga Bayern Süd
Heimstetten vs Bogen
1:2
May 14, 2016 Oberliga Bayern Süd
Heimstetten vs Bogen
4:1
Oct 16, 2015 Oberliga Bayern Süd
Bogen vs Heimstetten
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bogen 16 / 100
Heimstetten 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bogen Heimstetten

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HEI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.25 goals per match.

Defensive concern: Heimstetten conceded in 71% of 28 recent games.

Heimstetten lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Bogen scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Heimstetten
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Bogen

(Home)
08 Feb
Hankofen-Hailing
5 : 0
Bogen
03 Jun
Bogen
1 : 1
SB Chiemgau Traunstein
31 May
SB Chiemgau Traunstein
2 : 0
Bogen
20 May
Bogen
1 : 2
Ismaning
13 May
TSV Schwabmunchen
4 : 0
Bogen
Page 1 of 6

Heimstetten

(Away)
21 Jul
Pipinsried
3 : 2
Heimstetten
16 May
Heimstetten
1 : 1
FC Sturm Hauzenberg
08 May
Landsberg
5 : 2
Heimstetten
02 May
Heimstetten
2 : 3
Kirchanschoring
18 Apr
Heimstetten
3 : 2
SV Erlbach
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Pullach342110373:3273
2Unterfohring34216762:4269
3Pipinsried34189755:3863
4TSV Schwabmunchen34179854:4360
5Dachau341861056:4960
6Vilzing3414101047:4852
7Heimstetten341571268:5252
8Kirchanschoring341391240:3948
9Sonthofen3412111155:4447
10Rain/Lech341371464:5846
11Ismaning3410121252:5242
12Kottern-St. Mang341091564:7239
13Hankofen-Hailing348111536:5735
14Wolfratshausen341042044:6634
15Landsberg34971846:6534
16Regensburg II341032153:5633
17Bogen34871934:6231
18Gundelfingen34691939:6727
Relegation - Oberliga Bayern Nord 2016/2017 (Relegation)
Relegation - Oberliga Bayern Nord 2016/2017 (Relegation)
Relegation - Oberliga Bayern Nord 2016/2017 (Relegation)
Relegation - Oberliga Bayern Nord 2016/2017 (Relegation)
Promotion - Regionalliga Bayern 2017/2018 (Main)
Promotion - Oberliga Bayern Nord 2016/2017 (Play Offs)