Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Bogen vs Vilzing

Germany Germany

Oberliga Bayern Süd 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Bayern Süd 2016/2017 game between Bogen and Vilzing finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bogen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Bogen
6%
Draws
90%
Vilzing
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Vilzing

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Vilzing come out ahead of Bogen on wins alone.
  • Model gives Vilzing a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Bogen Clean Sheet 20%
Vilzing Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bogen Vilzing
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 6 18
Draws 4 5
Losses 20 10
Goals Scored 0 0.63
Goals Conceded 0 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 5, 2016 Oberliga Bayern Süd
Bogen vs Vilzing
1:0
Jul 20, 2016 Oberliga Bayern Süd
Vilzing vs Bogen
1:0
Apr 9, 2016 Oberliga Bayern Süd
Vilzing vs Bogen
1:1
Sep 12, 2015 Oberliga Bayern Süd
Bogen vs Vilzing
1:2
May 9, 2015 Oberliga Bayern Süd
Bogen vs Vilzing
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bogen 10 / 100
Vilzing 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bogen Vilzing

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VIL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vilzing let in goals in 67% of their last 33 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Bogen scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Bogen has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Vilzing
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 38%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Bogen

(Home)
08 Feb
Hankofen-Hailing
5 : 0
Bogen
03 Jun
Bogen
1 : 1
SB Chiemgau Traunstein
31 May
SB Chiemgau Traunstein
2 : 0
Bogen
20 May
Bogen
1 : 2
Ismaning
13 May
TSV Schwabmunchen
4 : 0
Bogen
Page 1 of 6

Vilzing

(Away)
15 Jul
Regensburg
2 : 3
Vilzing
11 Jul
Vilzing
1 : 2
Gebenbach
30 Jun
Luhe-Wildenau
1 : 7
Vilzing
16 May
Vilzing
5 : 2
Furth II
08 May
Memmingen
1 : 1
Vilzing
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Pullach342110373:3273
2Unterfohring34216762:4269
3Pipinsried34189755:3863
4TSV Schwabmunchen34179854:4360
5Dachau341861056:4960
6Vilzing3414101047:4852
7Heimstetten341571268:5252
8Kirchanschoring341391240:3948
9Sonthofen3412111155:4447
10Rain/Lech341371464:5846
11Ismaning3410121252:5242
12Kottern-St. Mang341091564:7239
13Hankofen-Hailing348111536:5735
14Wolfratshausen341042044:6634
15Landsberg34971846:6534
16Regensburg II341032153:5633
17Bogen34871934:6231
18Gundelfingen34691939:6727
Relegation - Oberliga Bayern Nord 2016/2017 (Relegation)
Relegation - Oberliga Bayern Nord 2016/2017 (Relegation)
Relegation - Oberliga Bayern Nord 2016/2017 (Relegation)
Relegation - Oberliga Bayern Nord 2016/2017 (Relegation)
Promotion - Regionalliga Bayern 2017/2018 (Main)
Promotion - Oberliga Bayern Nord 2016/2017 (Play Offs)