Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Bogen vs Vilzing

Germany Germany

Oberliga Bayern Süd 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Bayern Süd 2016/2017 game between Bogen and Vilzing finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bogen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Bogen
35%
Draws
56%
Vilzing
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Vilzing

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Vilzing come out ahead of Bogen on wins alone.
  • Model gives Vilzing a 56% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Bogen Clean Sheet 17%
Vilzing Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bogen Vilzing
Matches Played 30 35
Wins 6 18
Draws 4 6
Losses 20 11
Goals Scored 0.87 1.91
Goals Conceded 2.07 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 5, 2016 Oberliga Bayern Süd
Bogen vs Vilzing
1:0
Jul 20, 2016 Oberliga Bayern Süd
Vilzing vs Bogen
1:0
Apr 9, 2016 Oberliga Bayern Süd
Vilzing vs Bogen
1:1
Sep 12, 2015 Oberliga Bayern Süd
Bogen vs Vilzing
1:2
May 9, 2015 Oberliga Bayern Süd
Bogen vs Vilzing
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bogen 10 / 100
Vilzing 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bogen Vilzing

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vilzing Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vilzing let in goals in 69% of their last 35 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Bogen scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Bogen has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Vilzing
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Bogen

(Home)
08 Feb
Hankofen-Hailing
5 : 0
Bogen
03 Jun
Bogen
1 : 1
SB Chiemgau Traunstein
31 May
SB Chiemgau Traunstein
2 : 0
Bogen
20 May
Bogen
1 : 2
Ismaning
13 May
TSV Schwabmunchen
4 : 0
Bogen
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Vilzing

(Away)
15 Sept
Vilzing
1 : 1
Ansbach
12 Sept
Memmingen
0 : 0
Vilzing
04 Sept
Vilzing
2 : 2
Munich 1860
29 Aug
Burghausen
4 : 5
Vilzing
22 Aug
Vilzing
0 : 1
1. FC Schweinfurt
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pullach 34 21 10 3 73:32 73
2 Unterfohring 34 21 6 7 62:42 69
3 Pipinsried 34 18 9 7 55:38 63
4 TSV Schwabmunchen 34 17 9 8 54:43 60
5 Dachau 34 18 6 10 56:49 60
6 Vilzing 34 14 10 10 47:48 52
7 Heimstetten 34 15 7 12 68:52 52
8 Kirchanschoring 34 13 9 12 40:39 48
9 Sonthofen 34 12 11 11 55:44 47
10 Rain/Lech 34 13 7 14 64:58 46
11 Ismaning 34 10 12 12 52:52 42
12 Kottern-St. Mang 34 10 9 15 64:72 39
13 Hankofen-Hailing 34 8 11 15 36:57 35
14 Wolfratshausen 34 10 4 20 44:66 34
15 Landsberg 34 9 7 18 46:65 34
16 Regensburg II 34 10 3 21 53:56 33
17 Bogen 34 8 7 19 34:62 31
18 Gundelfingen 34 6 9 19 39:67 27
Relegation - Oberliga Bayern Nord 2016/2017 (Relegation)
Relegation - Oberliga Bayern Nord 2016/2017 (Relegation)
Relegation - Oberliga Bayern Nord 2016/2017 (Relegation)
Relegation - Oberliga Bayern Nord 2016/2017 (Relegation)
Promotion - Regionalliga Bayern 2017/2018 (Main)
Promotion - Oberliga Bayern Nord 2016/2017 (Play Offs)