Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Bogota vs Cartagena

Colombia Colombia

Primera B Estadio Metropolitano de Techo, Bogotá
Our Tip

Match Events

3'
Perea S.
21' Event
Castro K.
(Penalty)
42' Event
Lora R.

AI Match Summary

The Primera B game between Bogota and Cartagena finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cartagena.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Bogota
20%
Draws
40%
Cartagena
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Cartagena carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Primera B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Cartagena here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Bogota Clean Sheet 13%
Cartagena Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bogota Cartagena
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 12
Draws 8 9
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 0.83 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 20, 2026 Primera B
Cartagena vs Bogota
2:0
May 18, 2026 Primera B
Bogota vs Cartagena
1:2
May 2, 2026 Primera B
Cartagena vs Bogota
2:0
Feb 9, 2026 Primera B
Bogota vs Cartagena
0:1
Jul 21, 2025 Primera B
Bogota vs Cartagena
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bogota Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Cartagena Compare

Top Goalscorer Lora R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Melendez A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bogota 35 / 100
Cartagena 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bogota Cartagena

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cartagena Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cartagena's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Bogota has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: Bogota scored in 59% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Bogota VS Cartagena
0.38 Goals Scored 2
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Bogota

(Home)
21 Sept
Bogota
2 : 1
Barranquilla
14 Sept
Tigres Futbol Club
0 : 0
Bogota
04 Sept
Bogota
0 : 2
Independiente Valle del Cauca
29 Aug
Atletico F.C.
2 : 1
Bogota
25 Aug
Boca Juniors de Cali
1 : 2
Bogota
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Cartagena

(Away)
22 Sept
Cartagena
0 : 0
Envigado
12 Sept
Inter Palmira
2 : 1
Cartagena
05 Sept
Orsomarso
0 : 1
Cartagena
29 Aug
Cartagena
0 : 3
Tigres Futbol Club
24 Aug
Leones
1 : 6
Cartagena
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Envigado 6 3 2 1 6:3 11
2 Quindio 6 3 1 2 4:3 10
3 Inter Palmira 6 1 4 1 3:3 7
4 Tigres Futbol Club 6 1 1 4 4:8 4
Promotion - Primera B (Apertura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cartagena 6 4 1 1 8:6 13
2 Union Magdalena 6 2 3 1 8:4 9
3 Barranquilla 6 1 3 2 5:6 6
4 Bogota 6 0 3 3 3:8 3
Promotion - Primera B (Apertura - Play Offs)