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Bogota vs Envigado

Colombia Colombia

Primera B Estadio Metropolitano de Techo, Bogotá
Mon, Oct 5, 2026
VS
10:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Bogota host Envigado in the Primera B. Chances could be at a premium in this fixture. Envigado have shipped 1.06 goals a game lately, while Bogota have conceded 1.06 and scored 0.81. Past meetings favor Bogota slightly — 1-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 25, 2026, ending 1:2. The numbers (0.88 xG vs 1.00) point toward Bogota. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Bogota
35%
Draws
19%
Envigado
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Bogota

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Envigado lately — more wins on the board than Bogota.
  • Win probability leans Bogota's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Bogota Clean Sheet 20%
Envigado Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bogota Envigado
Matches Played 31 32
Wins 10 13
Draws 9 9
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 0.81 1.19
Goals Conceded 1.06 1.06
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 25, 2026 Primera B
Envigado vs Bogota
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bogota 42 / 100
Envigado 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bogota Envigado

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Envigado has conceded goals in 63% of their last 32 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Bogota remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Bogota scored in 58% of their last 31 outings.

Scoring Trends

Bogota VS Envigado
0.38 Goals Scored 0.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Bogota

(Home)
21 Sept
Bogota
2 : 1
Barranquilla
14 Sept
Tigres Futbol Club
0 : 0
Bogota
04 Sept
Bogota
0 : 2
Independiente Valle del Cauca
29 Aug
Atletico F.C.
2 : 1
Bogota
25 Aug
Boca Juniors de Cali
1 : 2
Bogota
Page 1 of 7

Envigado

(Away)
22 Sept
Cartagena
0 : 0
Envigado
12 Sept
Envigado
1 : 1
Leones
06 Sept
Boca Juniors de Cali
2 : 2
Envigado
01 Sept
Envigado
0 : 1
Union Magdalena
23 Aug
Quindio
1 : 0
Envigado
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tigres Futbol Club 9 5 2 2 11:3 17
2 Real Cundinamarca 9 5 2 2 16:9 17
3 Independiente Valle del Cauca 9 5 2 2 10:3 17
4 Patriotas 9 5 2 2 16:12 17
5 Cartagena 9 4 2 3 16:10 14
6 Atletico F.C. 9 4 2 3 12:12 14
7 Boca Juniors de Cali 8 3 2 3 10:10 11
8 Real Santander 9 2 5 2 11:14 11
9 Bogota 9 3 2 4 6:9 11
10 Inter Palmira 9 3 2 4 7:11 11
11 Quindio 9 2 4 3 7:8 10
12 Orsomarso 8 2 3 3 4:6 9
13 Leones 9 2 3 4 7:15 9
14 Barranquilla 9 2 2 5 10:15 8
15 Envigado 8 1 4 3 6:8 7
16 Union Magdalena 8 2 1 5 5:9 7
Promotion - Primera B (Clausura - Quadrangular)