Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Bogota vs Quindio

Colombia Colombia

Primera B Estadio Metropolitano de Techo, Bogotá
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Reina J.
13' Event
Roa S.
38'
Perez J.

AI Match Summary

Quindio in this Primera B matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Quindio.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Bogota
30%
Draws
16%
Quindio
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Bogota

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Quindio have won more games recently than Bogota.
  • Bogota are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Bogota Clean Sheet 68%
Quindio Clean Sheet 23%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bogota Quindio
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 10 11
Draws 8 8
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 0.83 1.04
Goals Conceded 1.07 0.89
Expected Goals (xG) 0.44 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 20, 2026 Primera B
Bogota vs Quindio
0:2
Sep 26, 2025 Primera B
Quindio vs Bogota
6:1
Apr 19, 2025 Primera B
Bogota vs Quindio
1:1
Aug 26, 2024 Primera B
Quindio vs Bogota
2:2
Mar 10, 2024 Primera B
Bogota vs Quindio
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bogota Compare

Avg xG / game 0.34
Avg xA / game 0.22

Quindio Compare

Top Goalscorer Reina J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Roa S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bogota 59 / 100
Quindio 24 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bogota Quindio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bogota Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Quindio has conceded goals in 61% of their last 28 outings.

Recent resilience: Bogota stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Quindio's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Bogota VS Quindio
0.38 Goals Scored 0.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Bogota

(Home)
21 Sept
Bogota
2 : 1
Barranquilla
14 Sept
Tigres Futbol Club
0 : 0
Bogota
04 Sept
Bogota
0 : 2
Independiente Valle del Cauca
29 Aug
Atletico F.C.
2 : 1
Bogota
25 Aug
Boca Juniors de Cali
1 : 2
Bogota
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Quindio

(Away)
21 Sept
Real Cundinamarca
3 : 1
Quindio
13 Sept
Quindio
1 : 2
Patriotas
09 Sept
Independiente Valle del Cauca
0 : 0
Quindio
05 Sept
Quindio
0 : 0
Real Santander
02 Sept
Quindio
1 : 2
Llaneros
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Inter Palmira 15 12 2 1 29:13 38
2 Union Magdalena 15 10 2 3 27:15 32
3 Quindio 15 9 4 2 20:10 31
4 Envigado 15 9 2 4 24:14 29
5 Cartagena 15 7 5 3 23:15 26
6 Bogota 15 6 5 4 16:14 23
7 Barranquilla 15 6 2 7 21:20 20
8 Tigres Futbol Club 15 5 5 5 15:14 20
9 Independiente Valle del Cauca 15 4 7 4 13:14 19
10 Orsomarso 15 4 5 6 13:17 17
11 Patriotas 15 4 5 6 13:17 17
12 Boca Juniors de Cali 15 2 7 6 15:20 13
13 Real Cundinamarca 15 2 7 6 14:19 13
14 Leones 15 2 4 9 8:24 10
15 Atletico F.C. 15 1 6 8 12:23 9
16 Real Santander 15 1 4 10 9:23 7
Promotion - Primera B (Apertura - Quadrangular)