Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Bogota vs Tigres Futbol Club

Colombia Colombia

Primera B Estadio Metropolitano de Techo, Bogotá
Our Tip

Match Events

24'
Sanchez J.
42'
Cano J.
53'
Sub
Cuero B. In: Castro B.
Out: Cuero B.

AI Match Summary

The Primera B game between Bogota and Tigres Futbol Club finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tigres Futbol Club.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Bogota
22%
Draws
18%
Tigres Futbol Club
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Bogota

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Bogota carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Bogota a 60% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Primera B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Bogota Clean Sheet 68%
Tigres Futbol Club Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bogota Tigres Futbol Club
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 8 6
Draws 9 8
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 0.5 0.38
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 11, 2026 Primera B
Bogota vs Tigres Futbol Club
0:1
Oct 20, 2025 Primera B
Tigres Futbol Club vs Bogota
1:1
Sep 6, 2025 Primera B
Bogota vs Tigres Futbol Club
1:0
May 11, 2025 Primera B
Bogota vs Tigres Futbol Club
1:2
Mar 30, 2025 Primera B
Tigres Futbol Club vs Bogota
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bogota Compare

Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Tigres Futbol Club Compare

Top Goalscorer Aragon O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.35
Avg xA / game 0.21

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bogota 68 / 100
Tigres Futbol Club 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bogota Tigres Futbol Club

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BOG Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Bogota scored in 64% of their last 28 outings.

Tigres Futbol Club's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Bogota went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bogota VS Tigres Futbol Club
0.5 Goals Scored 0.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Bogota

(Home)
29 Jul
Bogota
0 : 3
Dep. Pasto
25 Jul
Bogota
1 : 0
Union Magdalena
22 Jul
Dep. Pasto
0 : 1
Bogota
21 May
Union Magdalena
0 : 0
Bogota
18 May
Bogota
1 : 2
Cartagena
Page 1 of 6

Tigres Futbol Club

(Away)
29 Jul
Tigres Futbol Club
0 : 2
Atl. Nacional
24 Jul
Tigres Futbol Club
0 : 1
Leones
21 Jul
Atl. Nacional
2 : 0
Tigres Futbol Club
19 May
Inter Palmira
2 : 2
Tigres Futbol Club
14 May
Tigres Futbol Club
1 : 2
Envigado
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Inter Palmira15122129:1338
2Union Magdalena15102327:1532
3Quindio1594220:1031
4Envigado1592424:1429
5Cartagena1575323:1526
6Bogota1565416:1423
7Barranquilla1562721:2020
8Tigres Futbol Club1555515:1420
9Ind. Yumbo1547413:1419
10Orsomarso1545613:1717
11Patriotas1545613:1717
12Boca Juniors de Cali1527615:2013
13Real Cundinamarca1527614:1913
14Leones152498:2410
15Atletico F.C.1516812:239
16Real Santander1514109:237
Promotion - Primera B (Apertura - Quadrangular)