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Bogota W vs Indep. Santa Fe W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Colombia Colombia

Liga Aguila Women 2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Liga Aguila Women 2018 game between Bogota W and Indep. Santa Fe W finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Indep. Santa Fe W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Bogota W
15%
Draws
59%
Indep. Santa Fe W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Indep. Santa Fe W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Indep. Santa Fe W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Bogota W Clean Sheet 20%
Indep. Santa Fe W Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bogota W Indep. Santa Fe W
Matches Played 10 31
Wins 1 14
Draws 3 8
Losses 6 9
Goals Scored 0.6 2
Goals Conceded 2.9 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2018 Liga Women
Bogota W vs Indep. Santa Fe W
2:3
Feb 17, 2018 Liga Women
Indep. Santa Fe W vs Bogota W
10:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bogota W 32 / 100
Indep. Santa Fe W 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bogota W Indep. Santa Fe W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Indep. Santa Fe W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 7.50 goals per match.

Indep. Santa Fe W has conceded goals in 65% of their last 31 outings.

Attacking prowess: Bogota W scored in 50% of their last 10 outings.

Bogota W has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Indep. Santa Fe W
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 0.5
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Bogota W

(Home)
06 May
Inter Bogotá W
3 : 0
Bogota W
02 May
Bogota W
2 : 3
Indep. Santa Fe W
29 Apr
Bogota W
1 : 0
Dep. Pasto W
25 Apr
Patriotas W
1 : 0
Bogota W
19 Mar
Fortaleza W
1 : 0
Bogota W
Page 1 of 2

Indep. Santa Fe W

(Away)
26 Sept
Dep. Cali W
4 : 2
Indep. Santa Fe W
24 Sept
Indep. Santa Fe W
2 : 3
Dep. Cali W
20 Sept
Millonarios W
1 : 2
Indep. Santa Fe W
18 Sept
Indep. Santa Fe W
2 : 2
Millonarios W
12 Sept
Orsomarso W
1 : 2
Indep. Santa Fe W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Huila W 10 8 1 1 22:3 25
2 Deportes Tolima W 10 4 4 2 13:11 16
3 Alianza W 10 4 3 3 10:10 15
4 Cucuta W 10 3 4 3 14:17 13
5 Bucaramanga W 10 2 1 7 7:14 7
6 Real San Andres W 10 1 3 6 11:22 6
Promotion - Liga Aguila Women 2018 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Indep. Santa Fe W 10 8 1 1 37:6 25
2 Patriotas W 10 6 2 2 22:8 20
3 Fortaleza W 10 4 4 2 14:13 16
4 Inter Bogotá W 10 4 3 3 11:10 15
5 Bogota W 10 1 3 6 6:29 6
6 Dep. Pasto W 10 0 1 9 2:26 1
Promotion - Liga Aguila Women 2018 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 America de Cali W 10 7 1 2 26:12 22
2 Inter Palmira W 10 6 2 2 20:8 20
3 Deportivo Pereira W 10 6 1 3 15:12 19
4 Quindio W 10 3 3 4 21:20 12
5 Orsomarso W 10 3 2 5 14:17 11
6 Atletico F.C. W 10 0 1 9 7:34 1
Promotion - Liga Aguila Women 2018 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atl. Nacional W 8 6 1 1 16:3 19
2 Union Magdalena W 8 5 1 2 13:6 16
3 Envigado W 8 3 2 3 9:5 11
4 Junior W 8 3 2 3 9:7 11
5 Cartagena W 8 0 0 8 3:29 0
Promotion - Liga Aguila Women 2018 (Play Offs)