Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Bohemians vs Drogheda

Ireland Ireland

Premier Division Dalymount Park, Dublin
Our Tip

Match Events

42' Event
Parsons C.
Assist: Whelan C.
44'
Sub
Dennison L. In: Talley F.
Out: Dennison L.
53'
Sub
Bates A. In: Farrell S.
Out: Bates A.

AI Match Summary

The Premier Division game between Bohemians and Drogheda finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bohemians.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
Bohemians
15%
Draws
24%
Drogheda
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bohemians

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Bohemians carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 61% — that's where the model lands on Bohemians taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Bohemians Clean Sheet 15%
Drogheda Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bohemians Drogheda
Matches Played 34 29
Wins 17 8
Draws 8 9
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.79 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.32 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 18, 2026 Premier Division
Bohemians vs Drogheda
2:1
Jul 3, 2026 Premier Division
Drogheda vs Bohemians
0:2
May 15, 2026 Premier Division
Bohemians vs Drogheda
2:1
Apr 3, 2026 Premier Division
Drogheda vs Bohemians
0:0
Jan 9, 2026 Club Friendly
Drogheda vs Bohemians
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bohemians Compare

Top Goalscorer Parsons C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Devoy D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Drogheda Compare

Top Goalscorer Quinn A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bohemians 84 / 100
Drogheda 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bohemians Drogheda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bohemians Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 7:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bohemians scored in 91% of their last 33 games.

Recent resilience: Bohemians stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Drogheda has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Bohemians VS Drogheda
2.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1.88 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Bohemians

(Home)
18 Sept
Bohemians
2 : 1
Drogheda
11 Sept
Galway United
2 : 3
Bohemians
05 Sept
St. Patricks
1 : 2
Bohemians
28 Aug
Bohemians
3 : 0
Sligo Rovers
21 Aug
Bohemians
5 : 3
Derry City
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Drogheda

(Away)
18 Sept
Bohemians
2 : 1
Drogheda
14 Sept
Shelbourne
1 : 2
Drogheda
11 Sept
Drogheda
2 : 0
Sligo Rovers
04 Sept
Drogheda
1 : 2
Galway United
28 Aug
Drogheda
2 : 3
Dundalk
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shamrock Rovers 31 17 8 6 49:31 59
2 St. Patricks 31 16 8 7 51:25 56
3 Bohemians 31 16 8 7 55:37 56
4 Derry City 32 9 14 9 45:42 41
5 Dundalk 32 10 11 11 49:53 41
6 Shelbourne 31 9 12 10 41:44 39
7 Galway United 31 9 10 12 41:47 37
8 Waterford 32 7 13 12 44:54 34
9 Drogheda 32 8 10 14 38:51 34
10 Sligo Rovers 31 5 8 18 24:53 23
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Premier Division (Relegation)
Relegation - Division 1 2027 (Main)