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Bohemians vs Drogheda - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ireland Ireland

Premier Division Dalymount Park, Dublin
Our Tip

Match Events

42' Event
Parsons C.
Assist: Whelan C.
43'
Sub
Dennison L. In: Talley F.
Out: Dennison L.
52'
Sub
Bates A. In: Farrell S.
Out: Bates A.

AI Match Summary

The Premier Division game between Bohemians and Drogheda finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bohemians.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Bohemians
15%
Draws
51%
Drogheda
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Drogheda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Bohemians carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Bohemians Clean Sheet 17%
Drogheda Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bohemians Drogheda
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 18 10
Draws 4 6
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.84 1.32
Goals Conceded 1.32 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 18, 2026 Premier Division
Bohemians vs Drogheda
2:1
Jul 3, 2026 Premier Division
Drogheda vs Bohemians
0:2
May 15, 2026 Premier Division
Bohemians vs Drogheda
2:1
Apr 3, 2026 Premier Division
Drogheda vs Bohemians
0:0
Jan 9, 2026 Club Friendly
Drogheda vs Bohemians
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bohemians Compare

Top Goalscorer Parsons C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Devoy D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Drogheda Compare

Top Goalscorer Quinn A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bohemians 31 / 100
Drogheda 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bohemians Drogheda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 4:4
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bohemians scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Drogheda's defensive record shows goals conceded in 64% of 28 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Bohemians has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Bohemians VS Drogheda
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Bohemians

(Home)
30 Oct
St. Patricks
2 : 3
Bohemians
23 Oct
Bohemians
0 : 1
Shelbourne
16 Oct
Bohemians
2 : 1
Waterford
12 Oct
Shamrock Rovers
2 : 1
Bohemians
09 Oct
Bohemians
0 : 2
Waterford
Page 1 of 7

Drogheda

(Away)
30 Oct
Drogheda
2 : 0
Galway United
23 Oct
Waterford
3 : 1
Drogheda
16 Oct
Drogheda
2 : 0
Derry City
08 Oct
Shamrock Rovers
3 : 1
Drogheda
01 Oct
Trabzonspor
0 : 1
Drogheda
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shamrock Rovers 36 20 8 8 59:38 68
2 Bohemians 36 19 8 9 63:44 65
3 St. Patricks 36 17 9 10 55:31 60
4 Shelbourne 36 12 13 11 52:50 49
5 Derry City 36 11 15 10 50:47 48
6 Dundalk 36 11 12 13 55:59 45
7 Waterford 36 10 13 13 54:61 43
8 Galway United 36 10 12 14 46:53 42
9 Drogheda 36 10 10 16 44:57 40
10 Sligo Rovers 36 5 10 21 28:66 25
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Premier Division (Relegation)
Relegation - Division 1 2027 (Main)