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Bokelj vs Otrant - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Montenegro Montenegro

Prva Crnogorska Liga Stadion pod Vrmcem, Kotor
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Nurkovic B.
28' Event
Cavor M.
30'
Sub
Hugo V. In: Pocek I.
Out: Hugo V.

AI Match Summary

The Prva Crnogorska Liga game between Bokelj and Otrant finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bokelj.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Bokelj
20%
Draws
42%
Otrant
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Otrant

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Otrant carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Bokelj are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Bokelj have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Bokelj Clean Sheet 20%
Otrant Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bokelj Otrant
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 11 15
Draws 7 2
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 0.96 1.7
Goals Conceded 0.79 1.22
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 10, 2026 Prva Crnogorska Liga
Bokelj vs Otrant
2:1
Jul 19, 2026 Club Friendly
Bokelj vs Otrant
1:0
May 24, 2025 Prva Crnogorska Liga
Bokelj vs Otrant
1:5
Apr 2, 2025 Prva Crnogorska Liga
Otrant vs Bokelj
0:1
Dec 1, 2024 Prva Crnogorska Liga
Bokelj vs Otrant
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bokelj Compare

Top Goalscorer Nurkovic B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cavor M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Otrant Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bokelj 42 / 100
Otrant 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bokelj Otrant

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bokelj found the back of the net in 61% of recent matches (28 games).

Otrant's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 27 matches.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Bokelj went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bokelj VS Otrant
0.88 Goals Scored 1.75
0.63 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Bokelj

(Home)
20 Sept
Bokelj
3 : 0
Mladost DG
15 Sept
Jezero
1 : 1
Bokelj
10 Sept
Bokelj
2 : 1
Otrant
03 Sept
Mornar Bar
2 : 0
Bokelj
30 Aug
Buducnost
0 : 0
Bokelj
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Otrant

(Away)
26 Sept
Dinamo City
4 : 1
Otrant
20 Sept
Otrant
4 : 1
Jezero
14 Sept
Mornar Bar
0 : 1
Otrant
10 Sept
Bokelj
2 : 1
Otrant
05 Sept
Otrant
2 : 0
Buducnost
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Otrant 10 5 2 3 17:12 17
2 Decic 9 4 3 2 10:7 15
3 Bokelj 9 4 3 2 8:5 15
4 Buducnost 9 4 2 3 11:7 14
5 Sutjeska 9 4 2 3 11:7 14
6 Mornar Bar 10 3 5 2 12:10 14
7 Mladost DG 10 3 2 5 10:17 11
8 Jezero 10 2 4 4 12:18 10
9 Petrovac 9 1 5 3 7:9 8
10 Arsenal Tivat 9 1 4 4 5:11 7
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Druga Liga (Promotion)
Relegation - Druga Liga 2027/2028 (Main)