Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Boldmere St Michaels vs Chasetown

England England

FA Trophy 2022/2023
Sat, Sep 24, 2022
1 - 2
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-2, with Chasetown advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Boldmere St Michaels
20%
Draws
40%
Chasetown
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Chasetown carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Chasetown arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Chasetown, who have won 3 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Chasetown here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Boldmere St Michaels Clean Sheet 19%
Chasetown Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Boldmere St Michaels Chasetown
Matches Played 25 29
Wins 7 16
Draws 3 2
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 1.16 1.69
Goals Conceded 2.24 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 28, 2026 Club Friendly
Boldmere St Michaels vs Chasetown
1:2
Sep 24, 2022 FA Trophy
Boldmere St Michaels vs Chasetown
1:2
Sep 2, 2017 FA Cup
Boldmere St Michaels vs Chasetown
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Boldmere St Michaels 36 / 100
Chasetown 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Boldmere St Michaels Chasetown

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chasetown Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Boldmere St Michaels's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 25 recent games.

Chasetown has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Boldmere St Michaels went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Boldmere St Michaels VS Chasetown
1.38 Goals Scored 0.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Boldmere St Michaels

(Home)
19 Sept
Barton Town
3 : 1
Boldmere St Michaels
12 Sept
Boldmere St Michaels
1 : 3
Bedworth United
08 Sept
Boldmere St Michaels
2 : 1
Bourne
05 Sept
Bourne
1 : 1
Boldmere St Michaels
29 Aug
Boldmere St Michaels
2 : 1
St Ives Town
Page 1 of 5

Chasetown

(Away)
12 Sept
Loughborough Students
4 : 3
Chasetown
29 Aug
Chasetown
3 : 1
AFC Rushden & Diamonds
28 Jul
Boldmere St Michaels
1 : 2
Chasetown
16 Sept
Banbury
2 : 1
Chasetown
13 Sept
Chasetown
0 : 0
Banbury
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Nantwich -
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Warrington Rylands -
Marine -
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Radcliffe -
Trafford 1
Hebburn Town 2
Witton Albion 3
Stockton 4
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Warrington Town -
Ashton United -
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Bootle -
Grimsby Borough -
Mossley AFC 1
Dunston 2
Macclesfield 7
Tadcaster Albion 0
Widnes FC 2
Skelmersdale 1
TBD -
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TBD -
Bamber Bridge -
Hyde -
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Bridlington Town 1
Colne 2
Shildon 1
Consett 2
North Shields 3
Pontefract Collieries 1
Workington 1
Runcorn Linnets 2
City Of Liverpool 0
Sheffield FC 1
Stocksbridge 2
Ossett United 3
Guiseley -
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Whitby -
Morpeth -
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Lancaster -
United of Manchester -
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Liversedge -
Stalybridge -
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South Shields -
Ramsbottom Utd 2
Glossop North End 1
Clitheroe 2
1874 Northwich 1
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Marske United -
Atherton Collieries -
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Coleshill Town 3
Neots 2
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Leek Town -
Stratford -
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Royston Town -
Leiston -
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Aylesbury United 0
Evesham 3
Sholing 0
Lymington 1
Gainsborough -
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Barwell -
Long Eaton 2
Gresley 0
Loughborough Dynamo 3
Corby 1
Prescot Cables 2
Cleethorpes 1
Brighouse Town 0
Worksop 2
Coalville Town -
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Ilkeston -
Daventry 2
Lincoln Utd. 3
Carlton Town 2
Hanley Town 0
Wroxham 4
East Grinstead Town 1
Basildon 0
Lowestoft 2
Nuneaton -
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Kidsgrove Athletic 3
Hinckley LR 4
Cambridge City 4
Yaxley 1
Needham Market -
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Stourbridge -
Hitchin -
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Redditch -
Kempston 0
Dereham 1
Newcastle Town 0
Spalding United 2
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Stafford -
Belper Town -
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St Ives Town -
AFC Rushden & Diamonds -
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Tamworth -
Bromsgrove -
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Boldmere St Michaels 4
Sporting Khalsa 3
Stamford 1
Chasetown 2
Matlock -
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Grantham Town 1
Sutton Coldfield Town 2
Halesowen 5
Biggleswade FC 2
Barton 0
Chatham 1
Bury Town 1
Stowmarket Town 2
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Mickleover -
Basford Utd. -
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Bedworth United 0
Harborough 1
Shepshed 1
Biggleswade Town 0
Bedford -
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Alvechurch -
Rushall -
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Hednesford -
Carshalton -
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Lancing 1
Cray Valley 4
East Thurrock Utd 3
Sutton Common Rovers 1
Great Wakering 1
Harlow 2
Walthamstow FC 1
Ashford Town 3
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Hornchurch -
Hayes & Yeading -
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Welwyn Garden 1
New Salamis FC 2
Gorleston 1
Coggeshall Town 2
South Park 1
Sittingbourne 2
Felixstowe & Walton 2
Burgess Hill 3
Northwood 0
Hanworth Villa 3
Littlehampton 1
Ramsgate 0
Hendon -
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Thame United 2
Westbury United 0
Marlow 0
Binfield 4
Haringey Borough -
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Brightlingsea -
Chertsey Town 1
Uxbridge 3
Bedfont Sports 3
Hashtag 2
Walton & Hersham 3
Leatherhead 1
Haywards Heath 0
Southall FC 1
Ashford United 4
Sudbury 3
Three Bridges 3
Hullbridge 2
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Kings Langley -
Hanwell Town -
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Cray Wanderers -
VCD Athletic 0
Grays 3
Merstham 3
Hythe 0
Romania 2
Westfield 1
Chichester City 0
Faversham 1
Horsham FC -
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Aveley -
Billericay -
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Margate -
Beaconsfield Town -
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Hartley Wintney -
Metropolitan Police -
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Hastings -
FC Witham Town 1
Brentwood 0
Maldon & Tiptree 0
Ware 3
Cinderford Town 0
Thatcham 1
Bishops Cleeve 2
AFC Dunstable 3
Lewes -
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Hadley 1
Sevenoaks 2
Sheppey United 3
Hertford Town 4
Corinthian-Casuals -
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Harrow Borough -
Herne Bay -
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Stortford -
Enfield Town -
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Chesham -
Potters -
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Beckenham Town 1
Heybridge 2
Chipstead 4
Waltham Abbey 2
Folkestone -
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Tooting & Mitcham 0
Corinthian 1
Tilbury 1
Whitehawk 2
Kingstonian -
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Wingate & Finchley -
Bognor Regis -
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Bowers & Pitsea -
Canvey Island -
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Bracknell Town -
Plymouth Parkway -
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Dorchester -
Merthyr Town -
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AFC Totton 2
Slimbridge 1
Berkhamsted Town 5
Exmouth Town 0
Truro -
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Salisbury -
Yate -
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Weston-super-Mare -
Kidlington 0
Tavistock 1
Didcot 2
Hamworthy United 1
Bashley 4
Frome Town 1
Larkhall 0
Melksham 2
Swindon Supermarine -
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Basingstoke 3
Cirencester 5
Highworth 1
Paulton Rovers 2
Wimborne 2
Bristol Manor Farm 3
Willand Rovers 0
Bideford 3
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Gosport Borough -
North Leigh -
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Tiverton -
Winchester City -
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Poole Town -
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Semi-finals
Nantwich -
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Warrington Rylands -
Marine -
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Radcliffe -
Hebburn Town 3
Stockton 1
TBD -
Warrington Town -
Ashton United -
TBD -
Bootle 0
Dunston 3
Macclesfield 5
Widnes FC 1
TBD -
Bamber Bridge -
Hyde -
TBD -
Colne 1
Consett 0
North Shields 1
Runcorn Linnets 2
Sheffield FC 1
Ossett United 2
Guiseley -
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Whitby -
Morpeth -
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TBD -
Lancaster -
United of Manchester -
TBD -
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Liversedge -
Stalybridge -
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South Shields -
Ramsbottom Utd 1
Clitheroe 4
TBD -
Marske United -
Atherton Collieries -
TBD -
Coleshill Town 4
Leek Town 5
Stratford -
TBD -
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Royston Town -
Leiston -
TBD -
Evesham 1
Lymington 0
Gainsborough -
TBD -
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Barwell -
Long Eaton 0
Loughborough Dynamo 1
Prescot Cables 1
Worksop 3
Coalville Town -
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Ilkeston -
Lincoln Utd. 2
Carlton Town 1
Wroxham 5
Lowestoft 1
Nuneaton -
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Hinckley LR 1
Cambridge City 0
Needham Market -
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Stourbridge -
Hitchin -
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Redditch -
Dereham 0
Spalding United 1
TBD -
Stafford -
Belper Town -
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St Ives Town -
AFC Rushden & Diamonds -
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Tamworth -
Bromsgrove -
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Boldmere St Michaels 1
Chasetown 2
Matlock -
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Sutton Coldfield Town 2
Halesowen 0
Chatham 0
Stowmarket Town 1
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Mickleover -
Basford Utd. -
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Harborough 2
Shepshed 1
Bedford -
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Alvechurch -
Rushall -
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Hednesford -
Carshalton -
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Cray Valley 5
East Thurrock Utd 3
Harlow 4
Ashford Town 1
TBD -
Hornchurch -
Hayes & Yeading -
TBD -
New Salamis FC 3
Coggeshall Town 0
Sittingbourne 1
Burgess Hill 2
Hanworth Villa 3
Littlehampton 2
Hendon -
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Thame United 1
Binfield 2
Haringey Borough -
TBD -
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Brightlingsea -
Uxbridge 2
Bedfont Sports 0
Walton & Hersham 4
Southall FC 0
Ashford United 2
Three Bridges 0
TBD -
Kings Langley -
Hanwell Town -
TBD -
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Cray Wanderers -
Grays 4
Merstham 1
Romania 2
Faversham 3
Horsham FC -
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TBD -
Aveley -
Billericay -
TBD -
TBD -
Margate -
Beaconsfield Town -
TBD -
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Hartley Wintney -
Metropolitan Police -
TBD -
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Hastings -
FC Witham Town 2
Ware 1
Thatcham 0
AFC Dunstable 3
Lewes -
TBD -
Sevenoaks 3
Hertford Town 2
Corinthian-Casuals -
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Harrow Borough -
Herne Bay -
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Stortford -
Enfield Town -
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Chesham -
Potters -
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Heybridge 2
Chipstead 1
Folkestone -
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Corinthian 2
Whitehawk 4
Kingstonian -
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Wingate & Finchley -
Bognor Regis -
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Bowers & Pitsea -
Canvey Island -
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Bracknell Town -
Plymouth Parkway -
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Dorchester -
Merthyr Town -
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AFC Totton 2
Berkhamsted Town 1
Truro -
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Salisbury -
Yate -
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Weston-super-Mare -
Tavistock 1
Didcot 0
Bashley 2
Melksham 3
Swindon Supermarine -
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Cirencester 3
Paulton Rovers 2
Bristol Manor Farm 3
Bideford 2
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Gosport Borough -
North Leigh -
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Tiverton -
Winchester City -
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Poole Town -
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Final
Nantwich 0
Warrington Rylands 2
Marine 2
Radcliffe 1
Hebburn Town 1
Warrington Town 2
Ashton United 0
Dunston 1
Macclesfield 6
Bamber Bridge 1
Hyde 2
Colne 3
Runcorn Linnets 2
Ossett United 1
Guiseley 3
Whitby 1
Morpeth 2
Lancaster 3
United of Manchester 0
Liversedge 1
Stalybridge 1
South Shields 2
Clitheroe 2
Marske United 3
Atherton Collieries 0
Leek Town 3
Stratford 1
Royston Town 2
Leiston 1
Evesham 0
Gainsborough 3
Barwell 1
Loughborough Dynamo 1
Worksop 2
Coalville Town 4
Ilkeston 1
Lincoln Utd. 1
Wroxham 3
Nuneaton 2
Hinckley LR 0
Needham Market 0
Stourbridge 1
Hitchin 0
Redditch 3
Spalding United 1
Stafford 2
Belper Town 2
St Ives Town 1
AFC Rushden & Diamonds 0
Tamworth 4
Bromsgrove 0
Chasetown 3
Matlock 3
Sutton Coldfield Town 0
Stowmarket Town 2
Mickleover 1
Basford Utd. 2
Harborough 1
Bedford 0
Alvechurch 3
Rushall 3
Hednesford 4
Carshalton 3
Cray Valley 2
Harlow 3
Hornchurch 2
Hayes & Yeading 1
New Salamis FC 0
Burgess Hill 2
Hanworth Villa 1
Hendon 0
Binfield 1
Haringey Borough 1
Brightlingsea 0
Uxbridge 1
Walton & Hersham 0
Ashford United 1
Kings Langley 2
Hanwell Town 3
Cray Wanderers 1
Grays 1
Faversham 0
Horsham FC 4
Aveley 3
Billericay 2
Margate 0
Beaconsfield Town 3
Hartley Wintney 2
Metropolitan Police 0
Hastings 1
FC Witham Town 0
AFC Dunstable 1
Lewes 1
Sevenoaks 0
Corinthian-Casuals 2
Harrow Borough 3
Herne Bay 1
Stortford 2
Enfield Town 0
Chesham 4
Potters 0
Heybridge 2
Folkestone 2
Whitehawk 1
Kingstonian 2
Wingate & Finchley 3
Bognor Regis 1
Bowers & Pitsea 0
Canvey Island 1
Bracknell Town 4
Plymouth Parkway 2
Dorchester 0
Merthyr Town 0
AFC Totton 1
Truro 1
Salisbury 0
Yate 0
Weston-super-Mare 2
Tavistock 3
Melksham 1
Swindon Supermarine 3
Cirencester 0
Bristol Manor Farm 2
Gosport Borough 0
North Leigh 4
Tiverton 3
Winchester City 2
Poole Town 0
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