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Boldmere St Michaels vs Chasetown - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Cater G.
34' Event
Langston J.
53' Event

AI Match Summary

Chasetown in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Chasetown.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Boldmere St Michaels
20%
Draws
40%
Chasetown
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Chasetown have won more games recently than Boldmere St Michaels.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Chasetown here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Boldmere St Michaels Clean Sheet 19%
Chasetown Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Boldmere St Michaels Chasetown
Matches Played 25 29
Wins 7 16
Draws 3 2
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 1.16 1.69
Goals Conceded 2.24 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 28, 2026 Club Friendly
Boldmere St Michaels vs Chasetown
1:2
Sep 24, 2022 FA Trophy
Boldmere St Michaels vs Chasetown
1:2
Sep 2, 2017 FA Cup
Boldmere St Michaels vs Chasetown
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Boldmere St Michaels Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Chasetown Compare

Top Goalscorer Cater G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Langston J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Boldmere St Michaels 36 / 100
Chasetown 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Boldmere St Michaels Chasetown

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chasetown Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Boldmere St Michaels scored in 72% of their last 25 outings.

Defensive concern: Chasetown conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Boldmere St Michaels remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Boldmere St Michaels VS Chasetown
1.38 Goals Scored 0.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Boldmere St Michaels

(Home)
19 Sept
Barton Town
3 : 1
Boldmere St Michaels
12 Sept
Boldmere St Michaels
1 : 3
Bedworth United
08 Sept
Boldmere St Michaels
2 : 1
Bourne
05 Sept
Bourne
1 : 1
Boldmere St Michaels
29 Aug
Boldmere St Michaels
2 : 1
St Ives Town
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Chasetown

(Away)
12 Sept
Loughborough Students
4 : 3
Chasetown
29 Aug
Chasetown
3 : 1
AFC Rushden & Diamonds
28 Jul
Boldmere St Michaels
1 : 2
Chasetown
16 Sept
Banbury
2 : 1
Chasetown
13 Sept
Chasetown
0 : 0
Banbury
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