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Boldmere St Michaels W vs Derby W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Women's National League North 2022/2023
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AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Women's National League North 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Boldmere St Michaels W
30%
Draws
47%
Derby W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Derby W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Derby W lately — more wins on the board than Boldmere St Michaels W.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Derby W taking it.
  • Regular Women's National League North 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Boldmere St Michaels W Clean Sheet 17%
Derby W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Boldmere St Michaels W Derby W
Matches Played 28 34
Wins 7 12
Draws 4 5
Losses 17 17
Goals Scored 1.64 1.29
Goals Conceded 2.46 1.74
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 27, 2022 Women's National League North
Boldmere St Michaels W vs Derby W
2:2
Sep 4, 2022 Women's National League North
Derby W vs Boldmere St Michaels W
6:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Boldmere St Michaels W 28 / 100
Derby W 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Boldmere St Michaels W Derby W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Derby W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Boldmere St Michaels W's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 5.50 goals as a typical output.

Derby W has conceded goals in 71% of their last 34 outings.

Boldmere St Michaels W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Boldmere St Michaels W VS Derby W
1.14 Goals Scored 1
1.86 Goals Conceded 2.25
71% Over 1.5 88%
43% Over 2.5 63%
43% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Boldmere St Michaels W

(Home)
04 Oct
Hull City W
1 : 1
Boldmere St Michaels W
20 Sept
Boldmere St Michaels W
1 : 1
Loughborough Lightning W
13 Sept
Norwich W
2 : 2
Boldmere St Michaels W
30 Aug
Boldmere St Michaels W
2 : 4
Huddersfield W
23 Aug
Stoke City LFC W
5 : 1
Boldmere St Michaels W
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Derby W

(Away)
04 Oct
Derby W
0 : 3
West Brom W
20 Sept
Peterborough W
0 : 3
Derby W
13 Sept
Huddersfield W
2 : 1
Derby W
30 Aug
Derby W
1 : 0
Middlesbrough W
23 Aug
Derby W
0 : 1
Rugby Borough W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nottingham W 22 17 3 2 81:18 54
2 Wolverhampton W 22 17 3 2 61:17 54
3 Burnley W 22 16 4 2 66:28 52
4 Derby W 22 11 5 6 50:32 38
5 Brighouse Town W 22 8 7 7 28:27 31
6 Huddersfield W 22 7 5 10 36:43 26
7 AFC Fylde W 22 7 5 10 24:54 26
8 West Brom W 22 7 4 11 28:46 25
9 Liverpool Feds W 22 7 3 12 36:45 24
10 Stoke City LFC W 22 7 3 12 32:49 24
11 Boldmere St Michaels W 22 5 1 16 27:61 16
12 Loughborough Lightning W 22 0 3 19 10:59 3
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