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Bolivar vs Aragua

Venezuela Venezuela

Liga FUTVE 2
Our Tip

Match Events

39' Event
Fermin G.
57' Event
Acosta C.

AI Match Summary

The Liga FUTVE 2 game between Bolivar and Aragua finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Bolivar
30%
Draws
43%
Aragua
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Aragua

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Bolivar carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Aragua a 43% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Liga FUTVE 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Bolivar Clean Sheet 10%
Aragua Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bolivar Aragua
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 12 10
Draws 5 11
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1.17 1.06
Goals Conceded 1.43 0.94
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Liga FUTVE 2
Bolivar vs Aragua
1:1
Aug 1, 2026 Liga FUTVE 2
Aragua vs Bolivar
1:0
May 3, 2026 Liga FUTVE 2
Bolivar vs Aragua
0:0
Mar 7, 2026 Liga FUTVE 2
Aragua vs Bolivar
2:1
Sep 14, 2025 Liga FUTVE 2
Bolivar vs Aragua
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bolivar Compare

Top Goalscorer Fermin G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Aragua Compare

Top Goalscorer Acosta C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bolivar 10 / 100
Aragua 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bolivar Aragua

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aragua Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Bolivar scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Aragua's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 31 matches.

Recent resilience: Bolivar stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 1.40 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Bolivar VS Aragua
1.75 Goals Scored 1.75
2.25 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Bolivar

(Home)
20 Sept
Bolivar
1 : 1
Aragua
13 Sept
Mineros
4 : 1
Bolivar
09 Sept
Monagas
5 : 1
Bolivar
06 Sept
Deportivo Miranda
1 : 2
Bolivar
30 Aug
Bolivar
2 : 1
Avila
Page 1 of 6

Aragua

(Away)
20 Sept
Bolivar
1 : 1
Aragua
13 Sept
Aragua
2 : 1
Deportivo Miranda
09 Sept
Yaracuyanos
2 : 5
Aragua
05 Sept
Monagas B
2 : 2
Aragua
29 Aug
Aragua
2 : 0
Dynamo Puerto FC
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lara 27 18 6 3 46:20 60
2 Barquisimeto 27 14 8 5 48:27 50
3 Urena 28 12 9 7 41:34 45
4 Yaracuyanos 27 11 7 9 34:27 40
5 Zamora 2 27 11 7 9 42:36 40
6 Atletico El Vigia 28 9 7 12 32:45 34
7 Academia Puerto Cabello B 28 8 7 13 36:40 31
8 Atletico Barinas 28 9 4 15 49:59 31
9 Real Frontera 28 3 3 22 22:62 12
Promotion - Liga FUTVE 2 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Monagas B 23 13 6 4 39:24 45
2 Deportivo Miranda 23 12 5 6 30:18 41
3 Aragua 24 10 9 5 26:17 39
4 Bolivar 24 11 4 9 29:28 37
5 Dynamo Puerto FC 23 7 8 8 25:25 29
6 Mineros 24 4 9 11 26:31 21
7 Maritimo de Venezuela 20 5 5 10 16:31 20
8 Avila 23 2 10 11 12:29 16
Promotion - Liga FUTVE 2 (Play Offs)