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Bolivar vs Mineros - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Venezuela Venezuela

Copa Venezuela
Wed, Oct 14, 2026
VS
08:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 1-1. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Mineros have shipped 1.17 goals a game lately, while Bolivar have conceded 1.38 and scored 1.24. Head-to-head, Bolivar have won 2 to Mineros's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Sep 13, 2026, ending 4:1. The numbers (0.94 xG vs 2.50) point toward Bolivar. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Bolivar
20%
Draws
47%
Mineros
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Mineros

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Bolivar come out ahead of Mineros on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Bolivar have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Mineros, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Bolivar Clean Sheet 10%
Mineros Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bolivar Mineros
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 8
Draws 5 10
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.24 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Liga FUTVE 2
Mineros vs Bolivar
4:1
Jul 26, 2026 Liga FUTVE 2
Bolivar vs Mineros
1:2
Jun 24, 2026 Copa Venezuela
Mineros vs Bolivar
1:1
Apr 25, 2026 Liga FUTVE 2
Mineros vs Bolivar
2:3
Mar 1, 2026 Liga FUTVE 2
Bolivar vs Mineros
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bolivar 30 / 100
Mineros 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bolivar Mineros

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Bolivar's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Mineros let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Bolivar stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bolivar VS Mineros
1.38 Goals Scored 2.75
2.25 Goals Conceded 0.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Bolivar

(Home)
07 Oct
Dynamo Puerto FC
0 : 2
Bolivar
04 Oct
Bolivar
2 : 1
Monagas B
27 Sept
Dynamo Puerto FC
2 : 1
Bolivar
20 Sept
Bolivar
1 : 1
Aragua
13 Sept
Mineros
4 : 1
Bolivar
Page 1 of 6

Mineros

(Away)
07 Oct
Mineros
1 : 0
Monagas
04 Oct
Mineros
3 : 2
Deportivo Miranda
27 Sept
Monagas B
2 : 1
Mineros
20 Sept
Dynamo Puerto FC
0 : 0
Mineros
13 Sept
Mineros
4 : 1
Bolivar
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Academia Anzoategui 3 2 1 0 7:4 7
2 Avila 3 1 1 1 2:3 4
3 Deportivo Miranda 4 0 2 2 3:5 2
4 Maritimo de Venezuela 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Copa Venezuela (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zamora 5 3 1 1 14:4 10
2 Atletico Barinas 5 3 1 1 9:5 10
3 Atletico El Vigia 5 2 1 2 10:13 7
4 Real Frontera 5 0 1 4 2:13 1
Promotion - Copa Venezuela (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Caracas 5 4 1 0 13:4 13
2 Aragua 5 2 1 2 11:7 7
3 Yaracuyanos 5 2 0 3 10:10 6
4 Barquisimeto 5 1 0 4 3:16 3
Promotion - Copa Venezuela (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rayo Zuliano 5 3 2 0 9:3 11
2 Urena 5 1 3 1 5:7 6
3 Trujillanos 5 0 4 1 5:6 4
4 Lara 5 1 1 3 5:8 4
Promotion - Copa Venezuela (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Monagas 5 4 0 1 13:3 12
2 Mineros 5 3 1 1 13:2 10
3 Bolivar 5 1 1 3 6:11 4
4 Dynamo Puerto FC 5 1 0 4 2:18 3
Promotion - Copa Venezuela (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams