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Bolivar vs Monagas B

Venezuela Venezuela

Liga FUTVE 2
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Castillo D.
46' Event
Arismendi W.
52'

AI Match Summary

The Liga FUTVE 2 game between Bolivar and Monagas B finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bolivar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Bolivar
30%
Draws
51%
Monagas B
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Monagas B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Monagas B carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Monagas B taking it.
  • Regular Liga FUTVE 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Bolivar Clean Sheet 10%
Monagas B Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bolivar Monagas B
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 16
Draws 5 7
Losses 13 6
Goals Scored 1.14 1.69
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 Liga FUTVE 2
Monagas B vs Bolivar
2:3
May 17, 2026 Liga FUTVE 2
Bolivar vs Monagas B
2:1
Mar 23, 2026 Liga FUTVE 2
Monagas B vs Bolivar
0:1
Sep 7, 2025 Liga FUTVE 2
Monagas B vs Bolivar
3:0
Jul 24, 2025 Liga FUTVE 2
Bolivar vs Monagas B
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bolivar Compare

Top Goalscorer Arismendi W.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Monagas B Compare

Top Goalscorer Castillo D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bolivar 10 / 100
Monagas B 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bolivar Monagas B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Monagas B Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bolivar scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Monagas B has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Bolivar has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Bolivar VS Monagas B
1.75 Goals Scored 2.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Bolivar

(Home)
27 Sept
Dynamo Puerto FC
2 : 1
Bolivar
20 Sept
Bolivar
1 : 1
Aragua
13 Sept
Mineros
4 : 1
Bolivar
09 Sept
Monagas
5 : 1
Bolivar
06 Sept
Deportivo Miranda
1 : 2
Bolivar
Page 1 of 6

Monagas B

(Away)
27 Sept
Monagas B
2 : 1
Mineros
13 Sept
Monagas B
2 : 1
Dynamo Puerto FC
05 Sept
Monagas B
2 : 2
Aragua
30 Aug
Deportivo Miranda
1 : 1
Monagas B
23 Aug
Avila
0 : 3
Monagas B
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lara 27 18 6 3 46:20 60
2 Barquisimeto 27 14 8 5 48:27 50
3 Urena 28 12 9 7 41:34 45
4 Yaracuyanos 27 11 7 9 34:27 40
5 Zamora 2 27 11 7 9 42:36 40
6 Atletico El Vigia 28 9 7 12 32:45 34
7 Academia Puerto Cabello B 28 8 7 13 36:40 31
8 Atletico Barinas 28 9 4 15 49:59 31
9 Real Frontera 28 3 3 22 22:62 12
Promotion - Liga FUTVE 2 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Monagas B 23 13 6 4 39:24 45
2 Deportivo Miranda 23 12 5 6 30:18 41
3 Aragua 24 10 9 5 26:17 39
4 Bolivar 24 11 4 9 29:28 37
5 Dynamo Puerto FC 23 7 8 8 25:25 29
6 Mineros 24 4 9 11 26:31 21
7 Maritimo de Venezuela 20 5 5 10 16:31 20
8 Avila 23 2 10 11 12:29 16
Promotion - Liga FUTVE 2 (Play Offs)