Sport Picks

Venezuela

Copa Venezuela

Bolivar

1 - 3

Monagas

Our Tip

Match Events

38'

Fuentes D.

58'

Farias E.

73'

Romero A.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 5-1. This leg finished 1-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%

Bolivar

15%

Draws

57%

Monagas

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Monagas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence

Attack-wise there's a gap: Monagas at 1.37 per game, Bolivar at 1.17.
Win probability leans Monagas's way, sitting at 90%.
Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
Historical meetings favor Monagas, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
These two have met 4 times recently and Monagas have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 69%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%

Bolivar Clean Sheet 15%

Monagas Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Bolivar	Monagas
Matches Played	29	30
Wins	12	12
Draws	4	4
Losses	13	14
Goals Scored	1.17	1.37
Goals Conceded	1.52	1.3
Expected Goals (xG)	1.44	1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 9, 2026 Copa Venezuela

Monagas vs Bolivar

5:1

Aug 26, 2026 Copa Venezuela

Bolivar vs Monagas

1:3

Jul 2, 2025 Copa Venezuela

Bolivar vs Monagas

0:0

Jun 11, 2025 Copa Venezuela

Monagas vs Bolivar

1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bolivar Compare

Avg xG / game 1.11

Avg xA / game 0.72

Monagas Compare

Top Goalscorer Fuentes D.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Farias E.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.42

Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bolivar 10 / 100

Monagas 95 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Bolivar Monagas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Monagas Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bolivar found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Monagas let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.75 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Bolivar remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Bolivar VS Monagas

1.75 Goals Scored 1.38

1.75 Goals Conceded 1.13

88% Over 1.5 50%

88% Over 2.5 50%

38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Bolivar

(Home)

13 Sept

Mineros

4 : 1

Bolivar

09 Sept

Monagas

5 : 1

Bolivar

06 Sept

Deportivo Miranda

1 : 2

Bolivar

30 Aug

Bolivar

2 : 1

Avila

26 Aug

Bolivar

1 : 3

Monagas

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Monagas

(Away)

16 Sept

Monagas

1 : 0

Zamora

13 Sept

Caracas

0 : 1

Monagas

09 Sept

Monagas

5 : 1

Bolivar

06 Sept

Monagas

0 : 1

Metropolitanos

03 Sept

Academia Anzoategui

1 : 3

Monagas

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