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Bolivar vs Royal Pari

Bolivia Bolivia

Division Profesional 2024 Estadio Hernando Siles, La Paz
Our Tip

Match Events

12'
Orihuela R.
14'
Matheus Alves
43'
Bruno Savio

AI Match Summary

Bolivar in this Division Profesional 2024 matchup, with the score ending 5-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bolivar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Bolivar
30%
Draws
27%
Royal Pari
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Bolivar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Bolivar have won more games recently than Royal Pari.
  • Win probability leans Bolivar's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Division Profesional 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Bolivar Clean Sheet 68%
Royal Pari Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bolivar Royal Pari
Matches Played 37 30
Wins 22 7
Draws 8 8
Losses 7 15
Goals Scored 2.35 1
Goals Conceded 1.19 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 30, 2024 Division Profesional
Bolivar vs Royal Pari
5:0
Aug 4, 2024 Division Profesional
Royal Pari vs Bolivar
0:1
Feb 10, 2024 Club Friendly
Royal Pari vs Bolivar
1:0
Oct 24, 2023 Copa Pacena
Royal Pari vs Bolivar
1:2
Jul 16, 2023 Division Profesional
Royal Pari vs Bolivar
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bolivar Compare

Top Goalscorer Fabio Gomes
2 Goals
Assists Leader Melgar C. A.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.77

Royal Pari Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bolivar 68 / 100
Royal Pari 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bolivar Royal Pari

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bolivar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Bolivar scored in 95% of their last 37 outings.

Bolivar went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Royal Pari's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Bolivar VS -
1.88 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Bolivar

(Home)
27 Sept
Bolivar
3 : 0
Blooming
20 Sept
The Strongest
1 : 1
Bolivar
18 Sept
Bolivar
4 : 2
GV San Jose
14 Sept
Tomayapo
1 : 2
Bolivar
11 Sept
Bolivar
1 : 1
Independiente
Page 1 of 8

Royal Pari

(Away)
23 Feb
Royal Pari
0 : 1
Blooming
19 Feb
Blooming
2 : 2
Royal Pari
23 Dec
Real Oruro
3 : 0
Royal Pari
21 Dec
Royal Pari
4 : 0
Real Oruro
19 Dec
Royal Pari
3 : 1
GV San Jose
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bolivar 30 20 7 3 76:25 67
2 The Strongest 30 18 6 6 62:34 60
3 GV San Jose 30 14 6 10 62:40 48
4 Aurora 30 12 12 6 49:40 48
5 Always Ready 30 13 7 10 48:37 46
6 Nacional Potosi 30 13 7 10 52:47 46
7 Blooming 30 13 6 11 36:43 45
8 Jorge Wilstermann 30 11 11 8 35:30 44
9 Tomayapo 30 13 4 13 41:41 43
10 Independiente 30 9 9 12 48:58 36
11 Oriente Petrolero 30 10 5 15 44:58 35
12 Club Universitario de Vinto 30 9 7 14 36:47 34
13 San Antonio Bulo Bulo 30 8 7 15 40:58 31
14 Guabira 30 8 6 16 36:53 30
15 Royal Pari 30 7 8 15 30:46 29
16 Santa Cruz 30 6 4 20 30:68 22
Promotion - Division Profesional 2024 (Super final)