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Bolivia U17 W vs Ecuador U17 W

South America South America

South American Championship Women U17 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Bolivia U17 W play Ecuador U17 W in the South American Championship Women U17 2024. Ecuador U17 W are favorites here. Recently, Bolivia U17 W averaged 0.4 goals scored and 3.5 conceded. Ecuador U17 W averaged 1.66 goals scored and 1.72 conceded. In past meetings, Bolivia U17 W won 1, Ecuador U17 W won 4, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 7, 2025 ended 8:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.54 for Bolivia U17 W and 3.36 for Ecuador U17 W. This points to a Ecuador U17 W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

14%
Bolivia U17 W
15%
Draws
71%
Ecuador U17 W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ecuador U17 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Bolivia U17 W picked up more points recently compared to Ecuador U17 W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.54 vs 3.36 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 67%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 86%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 67%
Over 3.5 Goals 40%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Bolivia U17 W Clean Sheet 10%
Ecuador U17 W Clean Sheet 22%
First Half Goal 74%
Second Half Goal 78%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bolivia U17 W Ecuador U17 W
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 1 14
Draws 1 5
Losses 28 13
Goals Scored 0.4 1.66
Goals Conceded 3.5 1.72
Expected Goals (xG) 0.20 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 4.60 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 7, 2025 South American Championship Women U17
Ecuador U17 W vs Bolivia U17 W
8:0
Mar 13, 2024 South American Championship Women U17
Bolivia U17 W vs Ecuador U17 W
0:4
Mar 8, 2016 South American Championship Women U17
Bolivia U17 W vs Ecuador U17 W
0:2
Mar 17, 2012 South American Championship Women U17
Ecuador U17 W vs Bolivia U17 W
4:2
Feb 4, 2010 South American Championship Women U17
Bolivia U17 W vs Ecuador U17 W
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bolivia U17 W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.15
Avg xA / game 0.1

Ecuador U17 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Guerra M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Arboleda D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bolivia U17 W 15 / 100
Ecuador U17 W 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bolivia U17 W Ecuador U17 W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ecuador U17 W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Ecuador U17 W & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +133.4%
16.67
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.9%
1.64
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Bolivia U17 W attacking → ← attacking Ecuador U17 W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bolivia U17 W scored in 33% of their last 30 games.

Ecuador U17 W let in goals in 56% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 4.20 goals.

Bolivia U17 W went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Ecuador U17 W lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

4 Points in last 5 47
0.20 Goals expected (xG) 2.13
4.60 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.88

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Paraguay U17 W431012:310
2Ecuador U17 W421111:77
3Uruguay U17 W42026:96
4Chile U17 W420211:46
5Bolivia U17 W40041:180
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Brazil U17 W43109:110
2Colombia U17 W43017:49
3Argentina U17 W41214:35
4Peru U17 W41031:93
5Venezuela U17 W40130:41