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Bolivia U20 vs Ecuador U20

South America South America

South American Championship U20 Estadio Polideportivo Misael Delgado, Valencia
Our Tip

Match Events

23'
Ordonez D.
25' Event
Rojas J.
Assist: Rodriguez P.
27'
Paniagua M.

AI Match Summary

Ecuador U20 in this South American Championship U20 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ecuador U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Bolivia U20
20%
Draws
80%
Ecuador U20
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ecuador U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Bolivia U20 haven't matched Ecuador U20's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this South American Championship U20 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Ecuador U20 have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Bolivia U20 Clean Sheet 24%
Ecuador U20 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bolivia U20 Ecuador U20
Matches Played 26 26
Wins 2 8
Draws 5 6
Losses 19 12
Goals Scored 0.65 1.5
Goals Conceded 2 1.19
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 24, 2025 South American Championship U20
Bolivia U20 vs Ecuador U20
0:0
Jan 24, 2025 South American Championship U20
Bolivia U20 vs Ecuador U20
1:2
Jan 22, 2023 South American Championship U20
Bolivia U20 vs Ecuador U20
0:1
Nov 18, 2018 Friendly International
Bolivia U20 vs Ecuador U20
0:4
Jan 19, 2015 South American Championship U20
Ecuador U20 vs Bolivia U20
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bolivia U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Rojas J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Ecuador U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Arroyo K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Obando A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bolivia U20 33 / 100
Ecuador U20 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bolivia U20 Ecuador U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ecuador U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ecuador U20 let in goals in 73% of their last 26 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Bolivia U20's goal record stands at 46% scoring rate across 26 recent games.

Difficult form: Ecuador U20 registered 2 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bolivia U20 VS Ecuador U20
0.63 Goals Scored 0.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 25%
50% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Bolivia U20

(Home)
12 Aug
Brazil U20
2 : 0
Bolivia U20
09 Aug
Brazil U20
2 : 0
Bolivia U20
30 Jan
Colombia U20
3 : 2
Bolivia U20
28 Jan
Argentina U20
1 : 0
Bolivia U20
26 Jan
Bolivia U20
1 : 2
Brazil U20
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Ecuador U20

(Away)
01 Feb
Ecuador U20
0 : 0
Argentina U20
30 Jan
Ecuador U20
2 : 3
Brazil U20
28 Jan
Colombia U20
1 : 0
Ecuador U20
24 Jan
Bolivia U20
1 : 2
Ecuador U20
20 Dec
Peru U20
2 : 2
Ecuador U20
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uruguay U20 4 3 0 1 10:2 9
2 Paraguay U20 4 3 0 1 5:8 9
3 Chile U20 4 2 0 2 7:7 6
4 Venezuela U20 4 2 0 2 6:3 6
5 Peru U20 4 0 0 4 3:11 0
Promotion - South American Championship U20 (Final Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Colombia U20 4 3 1 0 6:3 10
2 Argentina U20 4 2 2 0 8:1 8
3 Brazil U20 4 2 0 2 5:10 6
4 Ecuador U20 4 1 1 2 4:5 4
5 Bolivia U20 4 0 0 4 4:8 0
Promotion - South American Championship U20 (Final Group)