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Bolivia U23 vs Ecuador U23 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Olympic Games
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Mercado J.
Assist: Vite P.
46'
Sub
Uzeda J. In: Duran D.
Out: Uzeda J.
46'
Sub
Lino D. In: Nava F.
Out: Lino D.

AI Match Summary

Ecuador U23 in this Olympic Games matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ecuador U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Bolivia U23
20%
Draws
51%
Ecuador U23
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ecuador U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Ecuador U23 have won more games recently than Bolivia U23.
  • Model gives Ecuador U23 a 51% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Bolivia U23 Clean Sheet 18%
Ecuador U23 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bolivia U23 Ecuador U23
Matches Played 15 20
Wins 4 5
Draws 3 2
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 1.07 1.15
Goals Conceded 2.13 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 26, 2024 Olympic Games
Bolivia U23 vs Ecuador U23
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bolivia U23 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Ecuador U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Mercado J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Obando A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bolivia U23 28 / 100
Ecuador U23 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bolivia U23 Ecuador U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ecuador U23 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ecuador U23 let in goals in 85% of their last 20 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Bolivia U23 found the back of the net in 53% of recent matches (15 games).

Bolivia U23 has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Bolivia U23 VS Ecuador U23
0.63 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Bolivia U23

(Home)
01 Feb
Colombia U23
0 : 2
Bolivia U23
26 Jan
Bolivia U23
0 : 2
Ecuador U23
23 Jan
Bolivia U23
0 : 1
Brazil U23
20 Jan
Venezuela U23
3 : 3
Bolivia U23
12 Jan
Chile U23
3 : 0
Bolivia U23
Page 1 of 3

Ecuador U23

(Away)
29 Jan
Brazil U23
2 : 1
Ecuador U23
26 Jan
Bolivia U23
0 : 2
Ecuador U23
23 Jan
Ecuador U23
1 : 1
Venezuela U23
20 Jan
Ecuador U23
3 : 0
Colombia U23
17 Dec
Argentina U23
2 : 0
Ecuador U23
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brazil U23 4 3 0 1 6:4 9
2 Venezuela U23 4 2 2 0 8:5 8
3 Ecuador U23 4 2 1 1 7:3 7
4 Bolivia U23 4 1 1 2 5:6 4
5 Colombia U23 4 0 0 4 0:8 0
Promotion - Olympic Games (Final Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Argentina U23 4 2 2 0 11:4 8
2 Paraguay U23 4 2 1 1 7:6 7
3 Chile U23 4 2 0 2 3:7 6
4 Uruguay U23 4 1 1 2 9:8 4
5 Peru U23 4 1 0 3 1:6 3
Promotion - Olympic Games (Final Group)