Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Bolivia U23 vs Peru U23

World World

Olympic Games 2020
Our Tip

Match Events

56'
Sub
Figueroa L. In: Villarroel M.
Out: Figueroa L.
61'
Sub
Garcia J. In: Luis Saldias
Out: Garcia J.
62'
Sub
Murrugarra J. In: Fuentes A.
Out: Murrugarra J.

AI Match Summary

Bolivia U23 in this Olympic Games 2020 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bolivia U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Bolivia U23
20%
Draws
40%
Peru U23
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Peru U23 have won more games recently than Bolivia U23.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Olympic Games 2020 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Bolivia U23 Clean Sheet 20%
Peru U23 Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bolivia U23 Peru U23
Matches Played 15 20
Wins 4 5
Draws 3 3
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 1.07 0.85
Goals Conceded 2.13 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 22, 2023 Friendly International
Peru U23 vs Bolivia U23
1:1
Dec 19, 2023 Friendly International
Peru U23 vs Bolivia U23
4:0
Jan 31, 2020 Olympic Games
Bolivia U23 vs Peru U23
2:1
Nov 14, 2019 Friendly International
Peru U23 vs Bolivia U23
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bolivia U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Villarroel M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Peru U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Lujan J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bolivia U23 36 / 100
Peru U23 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bolivia U23 Peru U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Peru U23 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Peru U23's defensive record shows goals conceded in 85% of 20 matches.

H2H data points to 2.25 goals as a typical output.

Peru U23 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Bolivia U23 scored in 53% of their last 15 games.

Scoring Trends

Bolivia U23 VS Peru U23
0.63 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Bolivia U23

(Home)
01 Feb
Colombia U23
0 : 2
Bolivia U23
26 Jan
Bolivia U23
0 : 2
Ecuador U23
23 Jan
Bolivia U23
0 : 1
Brazil U23
20 Jan
Venezuela U23
3 : 3
Bolivia U23
12 Jan
Chile U23
3 : 0
Bolivia U23
Page 1 of 3

Peru U23

(Away)
30 Jan
Uruguay U23
3 : 0
Peru U23
27 Jan
Paraguay U23
1 : 0
Peru U23
24 Jan
Peru U23
0 : 2
Argentina U23
21 Jan
Peru U23
1 : 0
Chile U23
22 Dec
Peru U23
1 : 1
Bolivia U23
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Argentina U23 4 4 0 0 9:2 12
2 Colombia U23 4 2 1 1 7:3 7
3 Chile U23 4 2 1 1 4:2 7
4 Venezuela U23 4 1 0 3 3:7 3
5 Ecuador U23 4 0 0 4 0:9 0
Promotion - Olympic Games 2020 (Final Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brazil U23 4 4 0 0 11:5 12
2 Uruguay U23 4 2 0 2 5:6 6
3 Bolivia U23 4 2 0 2 8:10 6
4 Paraguay U23 4 1 0 3 5:6 3
5 Peru U23 4 1 0 3 4:6 3
Promotion - Olympic Games 2020 (Final Group)