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Bolivia vs Panama

World World

Friendly International Estadio IV Centenario, Tarija
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Barria K.
Assist: Lenis K.
30'
Phillips R.
43'
Sub
Arroyo D. In: Matheus R.
Out: Arroyo D.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International game between Bolivia and Panama finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Bolivia
15%
Draws
34%
Panama
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bolivia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Panama come out ahead of Bolivia on wins alone.
  • Bolivia are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular Friendly International form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Bolivia Clean Sheet 14%
Panama Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bolivia Panama
Matches Played 32 32
Wins 10 13
Draws 3 7
Losses 19 12
Goals Scored 0.81 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.91 1.44
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 18, 2026 Friendly International
Bolivia vs Panama
1:1
Jul 2, 2024 Copa América
Bolivia vs Panama
1:3
Aug 27, 2023 Friendly International
Bolivia vs Panama
1:2
Nov 19, 2019 Friendly International
Panama vs Bolivia
0:0
Jun 6, 2016 Copa América
Panama vs Bolivia
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bolivia Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Panama Compare

Top Goalscorer Barria K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bolivia 41 / 100
Panama 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bolivia Panama

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Panama has conceded goals in 75% of their last 32 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Panama's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Bolivia found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (32 games).

Scoring Trends

Bolivia VS Panama
0.88 Goals Scored 1.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Bolivia

(Home)
11 Jun
Bolivia
0 : 4
Algeria
06 Jun
Bolivia
0 : 4
Scotland
01 Apr
Iraq
2 : 1
Bolivia
26 Mar
Bolivia
2 : 1
Suriname
15 Mar
Bolivia
3 : 0
Trinidad & Tobago
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Panama

(Away)
27 Jun
Panama
0 : 2
England
23 Jun
Panama
0 : 1
Croatia
17 Jun
Ghana
1 : 0
Panama
06 Jun
Panama
1 : 1
Bosnia & Herzegovina
04 Jun
Panama
4 : 2
Dominican Republic
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