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Bolivia vs Panama

World World

Friendly International Estadio IV Centenario
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Bolivia play Panama in the Friendly International. It looks like a close match. Recently, Bolivia averaged 0.88 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. Panama averaged 1.75 goals scored and 1.63 conceded. In past meetings, Bolivia won 0, Panama won 3, and they drew 2. Their last match on Jan 18, 2026 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.25 for Bolivia and 1.63 for Panama. This points to a Panama double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Bolivia
20%
Draws
38%
Panama
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bolivia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Panama has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Bolivia.
  • Model forecasts a 42% win probability edge for Bolivia.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Friendly International provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Bolivia Clean Sheet 14%
Panama Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bolivia Panama
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 8 13
Draws 3 7
Losses 19 11
Goals Scored 0.88 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 18, 2026 Friendly International
Bolivia vs Panama
1:1
Jul 2, 2024 Copa América
Bolivia vs Panama
1:3
Aug 27, 2023 Friendly International
Bolivia vs Panama
1:2
Nov 19, 2019 Friendly International
Panama vs Bolivia
0:0
Jun 6, 2016 Copa América
Panama vs Bolivia
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bolivia Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Panama Compare

Top Goalscorer Barria K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bolivia 41 / 100
Panama 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bolivia Panama

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bolivia scored in 47% of their last 30 games.

Panama let in goals in 74% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Bolivia went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Panama lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bolivia VS Panama
0.88 Goals Scored 1.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%