Sport Picks

World

Friendly International Estadio IV Centenario

Panama

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Bolivia play Panama in the Friendly International. It looks like a close match. Recently, Bolivia averaged 0.77 goals scored and 2.03 conceded. Panama averaged 1.52 goals scored and 1.39 conceded. In past meetings, Bolivia won 0, Panama won 3, and they drew 2. Their last match on Jan 18, 2026 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.25 for Bolivia and 1.63 for Panama. This points to a Panama double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%

Bolivia

23%

Draws

50%

Panama

Draw rate projection: 23% Favored: Panama

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / High Confidence

Bolivia picked up more points recently compared to Panama.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.25 vs 1.63 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 77%

Over 2.5 Goals 55%

Over 3.5 Goals 33%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 45%

Bolivia Clean Sheet 14%

Panama Clean Sheet 11%

First Half Goal 69%

Second Half Goal 73%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Bolivia	Panama
Matches Played	30	31
Wins	8	13
Draws	3	7
Losses	19	11
Goals Scored	0.77	1.52
Goals Conceded	2.03	1.39
Expected Goals (xG)	0.88	1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.50	1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 18, 2026 Friendly International

Bolivia vs Panama

Possession: 57% - 46% Cards: 1 - 2

1:1

Jul 2, 2024 Copa América

Bolivia vs Panama

Possession: 46% - 60% Cards: 2 - 2

1:3

Aug 27, 2023 Friendly International

Bolivia vs Panama

Possession: 41% - 52% Cards: 3 - 2

1:2

Nov 19, 2019 Friendly International

Panama vs Bolivia

Possession: 42% - 58% Cards: 1 - 3

0:0

Jun 6, 2016 Copa América

Panama vs Bolivia

Possession: 55% - 59% Cards: 3 - 0

2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bolivia Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68

Avg xA / game 0.44

Panama Compare

Top Goalscorer Barria K.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.59

Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bolivia 27 / 100

Panama 47 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Bolivia Panama

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Panama or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +42%

5.26

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +12.2%

2.04

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Bolivia attacking → ← attacking Panama

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bolivia scored in 47% of their last 30 games.

Panama let in goals in 74% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Bolivia went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Panama lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

27 Points in last 5 46

0.88 Goals expected (xG) 1.75

1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.63