Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Bolivia W vs Paraguay W

South America South America

Copa América Women Estadio Gonzalo Pozo Ripalda, Quito
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Martinez Ovando C.
Assist: Bareiro D.
40' Event
Martinez Ovando C.
Assist: Bareiro D.
56'
Sub
Alurralde S. In: Carballo N.
Out: Alurralde S.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-4. The second leg ended 0-4.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Bolivia W
15%
Draws
85%
Paraguay W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Paraguay W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Bolivia W haven't matched Paraguay W's recent run of results.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Paraguay W taking it.
  • Paraguay W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Paraguay W, who have won 3 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Paraguay W have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%
Bolivia W Clean Sheet 10%
Paraguay W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bolivia W Paraguay W
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 1 11
Draws 2 2
Losses 26 18
Goals Scored 0.38 1.35
Goals Conceded 3.97 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 5, 2026 CONMEBOL Nations League Women
Bolivia W vs Paraguay W
0:8
Jul 13, 2025 Copa América Women
Bolivia W vs Paraguay W
0:4
Jul 14, 2022 Copa América Women
Paraguay W vs Bolivia W
2:0
Sep 18, 2014 Copa América Women
Bolivia W vs Paraguay W
2:10

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bolivia W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Paraguay W Compare

Top Goalscorer Martinez Ovando C.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Chamorro Gomez L. F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.55
Avg xA / game 1.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bolivia W 10 / 100
Paraguay W 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bolivia W Paraguay W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Paraguay W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 6.50 goals per match.

Defensive concern: Paraguay W conceded in 71% of 31 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Bolivia W scored in 31% of their last 29 outings.

Paraguay W's recent record shows 2 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Bolivia W VS Paraguay W
0.25 Goals Scored 0.63
5 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 50%
88% Over 2.5 38%
75% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Bolivia W

(Home)
09 Jun
Peru W
4 : 0
Bolivia W
05 Jun
Bolivia W
0 : 8
Paraguay W
18 Apr
Venezuela W
8 : 0
Bolivia W
14 Apr
Bolivia W
1 : 2
Uruguay W
02 Dec
Argentina W
8 : 0
Bolivia W
Page 1 of 6

Paraguay W

(Away)
12 Jul
Penarol W
1 : 2
Paraguay W
09 Jul
Palmeiras W
3 : 0
Paraguay W
09 Jun
Paraguay W
3 : 4
Colombia W
05 Jun
Bolivia W
0 : 8
Paraguay W
14 Apr
Peru W
1 : 1
Paraguay W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Argentina W 4 4 0 0 6:1 12
2 Uruguay W 4 2 1 1 6:3 7
3 Chile W 4 2 0 2 6:6 6
4 Ecuador W 4 1 1 2 6:7 4
5 Peru W 4 0 0 4 1:8 0
Promotion - Copa América Women (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa América Women (5th-6th places)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brazil W 4 3 1 0 12:1 10
2 Colombia W 4 2 2 0 12:1 8
3 Paraguay W 4 2 0 2 8:9 6
4 Venezuela W 4 1 1 2 8:5 4
5 Bolivia W 4 0 0 4 1:25 0
Promotion - Copa América Women (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa América Women (5th-6th places)